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. 2022 Oct 5;66(1):93–104. doi: 10.1007/s00125-022-05799-y

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Type 1 diabetes prediction performance (IPCW concordance index [C index] with 95% CI) for various covariate sets. (a) Performance for a model using baseline covariates; a model using baseline covariates and IAb positivity indicators from both initial and confirmatory visits; and a model using baseline covariates and IAb levels from both initial and confirmatory visits. (b) Performance for a model using baseline covariates, models using IAb positivity indicators from the initial visit, the confirmatory visit and both visits, and models using IAb levels from the initial visit, the confirmatory visit and both visits. The prediction start time (‘time 0’) was the seroconversion confirmatory visit. The duration of the follow-up period was 10 years. IAbs include GADA, IA-2A and IAA