Table 2.
Different loss functions for base learners and ARIMA model-training data
| Headline | Core 1 | Core 2 | Urban | Rural | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random Forest | MSE | 8.3955 | 5.8182 | 5.5240 | 8.2512 | 6.9754 |
| RMSE | 2.8975 | 2.4121 | 2.3503 | 2.8725 | 2.6411 | |
| GBM | MSE | 2.6738 | 2.1448 | 1.8429 | 3.4532 | 2.9332 |
| RMSE | 1.6352 | 1.4645 | 1.3575 | 1.8583 | 1.7127 | |
| GLM | MSE | 0.0010 | 0.0333 | 0.0900 | 0.0019 | 0.0019 |
| RMSE | 0.0324 | 0.1826 | 0.3000 | 0.0441 | 0.0433 | |
| ARIMA (Baseline) | MSE | 1.8322 | 2.1871 | 2.000 | 3.1524 | 2.7179 |
| RMSE | 1.3536 | 1.4789 | 1.4144 | 1.7755 | 1.6486 |