Table 4.
The actual values and the predicted values by the SARIMA((1,2,3,4,6,7,11),2,1)(1,0,1)12 model of monthly electric energy production (billion kWh) of Xinjiang.
| Date | SARIMA Prediction | Actual | Error | Date | SARIMA Prediction | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202108 | 383.16 | 399.50 | 16.3 | 202205 | 380.49 | 378.20 | − 2.29 |
| 202109 | 353.68 | 364.30 | 10.62 | 202206 | 395.28 | 403.50 | 8.22 |
| 202110 | 372.3 | 353.00 | − 19.3 | 202207 | 418.57 | 431.60 | 13.03 |
| 202111 | 388.95 | 374.70 | − 14.25 | 202208 | 416.38 | 419.60 | 3.22 |
| 202112 | 406.09 | 393.50 | − 12.59 | 202209 | 392.35 | ||
| 202201 | 381.05 | 381.70 | 0.65 | 202210 | 406.54 | ||
| 202202 | 383.09 | 381.70 | − 1.39 | 202211 | 423.78 | ||
| 202203 | 388.65 | 388.00 | − 0.65 | 202212 | 438.99 | ||
| 202204 | 388.98 | 362.90 | − 26.08 |
Error = Actual − SARIMA prediction.