Table 4. Estimated number of cases in the 5 districts from the survey compared with the cases reported to the national surveillance system by facilities in Malawi, December 2020.
| District | Population* | Total district case estimates/100,000 population | Total district case estimates |
Reported cases | Reported cases/100,000 population | Estimation factor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower bound | Middle estimate | Higher bound | ||||||
| Blantyre | 1,304,357 | 13,100 | 117,392 | 170,871 | 243,915 | 2,065 | 158 | 82.7 |
| Karonga | 380,608 | 9,400 | 27,784 | 35,777 | 46,434 | 91 | 24 | 393.2 |
| Lilongwe | 2,770,840 | 6,100 | 96,979 | 169,021 | 282,626 | 1,412 | 51 | 119.7 |
| Mangochi | 1,224,716 | 4,100 | 31,843 | 50,213 | 75,932 | 157 | 13 | 319.8 |
| Mzimba North |
560,129 |
12,100 |
48,731 |
67,776 |
92,981 |
594 |
106 |
114.1 |
| Total | 6,842,977 | 7,800 | 393,161 | 486,771 | 599,102 | 4,319 | 69 | 112.9 |
*Population estimates are projections from the Malawi National Statistical Office, 2018 Housing Census report.