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. 2022 Dec 13;12:21529. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-25354-4

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© The Author(s) 2022

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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MRP forecasts of vaccine acceptance correlate with observed first-dose COVID-19 vaccine uptake among adults. (Logit transformed) observed vaccination coverage across all England NUTS-3 regions is plotted against (logit transformed) MRP predicted vaccine uptake. NUTS-3 regions are coloured by first administrative region (NUTS-1). The identity line is shown for reference.