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Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública logoLink to Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública
. 2022 Dec 15;46:e209. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2022.209

Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on food insecurity in El Salvador during 2020

Efectos de la pandemia de COVID-19 en la inseguridad alimentaria en El Salvador durante el año 2020

Efeitos da pandemia de COVID-19 sobre a insegurança alimentar em El Salvador durante 2020

Carlos Ayala Durán 1,
PMCID: PMC9749870  PMID: 36532894

ABSTRACT

Objective.

This study sought to quantify the prevalence of food insecurity among Salvadorian households, to identify the determinants of food insecurity and to explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on food insecurity.

Methods.

A nationwide, representative random sample of 2358 households was used for this cross-sectional study. The Household Hunger Scale (HHS) was used to assess the prevalence of food insecurity during a 30-day period. For comparison, three items were used from the Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale (HFIES), which measures hunger occurring during a 12-month time frame. For determinant analysis, binary logistic regression was used for the HHS and ordered logistic regression for the HFIES.

Results.

The prevalence of food insecurity was 6.45% (152/2356) among Salvadorian households when the HHS was used, affecting 5.48% (129/2356) to a moderate degree and 0.98% (23/2356) to a severe degree. The prevalence significantly increased when the HFIES scale items were used, with 35.41% (835/2358) of households being affected, a figure closer to the national poverty level. Determinants of food insecurity according to the HHS included agricultural problems (P = 0.00, odds ratio [OR] =1.69), the household’s prepandemic income (P = 0.00, OR = 0.48) and higher educational levels (i.e. having a secondary education [P = 0.00, OR = 0.31], technical [P = 0.03, OR = 0.24] or university education [P = 0.00, OR = 0.05]). When using the HFIES, the determinants were similar (i.e. income, agricultural problems, educational level). In more than 94% (744/785) of households, participants reported that food insecurity was exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Conclusions.

When compared with other relevant international studies, the prevalence of food insecurity identified using the HHS – only 6.45% – was low for El Salvador. However, when using the HFIES scale, the prevalence rose to 35.41% of households. Some determinants align with previous studies, namely income, educational level and agricultural problems. The COVID-19 pandemic appeared to have direct effects on food insecurity

Keywords: Central America, eating, prevalence, regression analysis


Food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food that meets their preferences and dietary needs for an active and healthy life (1). Societies around the world strive to achieve optimal levels of food security because food insecurity (FI) represents a public health issue. For instance, FI can lead to the prevalence of anemia, mental health issues, clinical depression and suicide (2). Some of the negative consequences of FI can also harm vulnerable groups, such as infants and teenagers, by affecting their noncognitive skills (e.g. patterns of thought, feelings and behaviors), increasing their chance of developing asthma, reducing their academic performance and affecting their general health outcomes (2, 3).

Although the concept of food security is constantly updated and its meaning has varied over time (4), one of its main, unchanging dimensions is economic access to food. Numerous tools center the importance of economic access in measuring food security, including those published by the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) (5), the Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale (HFIES) (6), the Household Hunger Scale (HHS) (7) and the Integrated Classification of Food Security (or CIF) (8). It is precisely the economic dimension that has worsened in El Salvador and around the world since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly the indicators relating to income, employment and financial contributions to social security (9, 10). Moreover, global food supply chains have suffered serious disruptions (9), potentially exacerbating FI internationally.

Although all nations have faced major food challenges since 2020, conditions in developing countries can be particularly worrying since socioeconomic indicators are fragile and safety nets are often nonexistent or insufficient. Within Latin America, El Salvador stands out as a country with unique FI challenges.

In 2015, international organizations, such as the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the United Nations Development Programme, reported that 49.4% of Salvadorian households faced some degree of FI (1). Additionally, recent publications have emphasized that lack of access to adequate food during the pandemic may have increased FI in El Salvador (8, 11). Moreover, it has been estimated that by August 2021, 1.04 million people faced severe FI in the country (8). Geographical departments within the dry corridor (12) in the east of the country have been particularly affected (8). Additionally, food scarcity has been exacerbated by the rainy season and hurricane cycle in 2020, which negatively affected up to 150 000 people and approximately 3 000 hectares of crops (13). Similarly, reports by the FAO emphasized that El Salvador had a medium to high food price index in 2020, which contributed to the reduction in the food supply nationwide during the same period (9). All of these challenges help to explain the 4% increase in poverty nationwide, which affected approximately 26.2% of all households in 2020 (14).

Although these reports shed some light on FI in El Salvador, there are no public databases that allow for its systematic assessment in the country. Moreover, most of these reports rely on qualitative methodologies (1, 8, 9, 11, 13). In light of the worsening sanitary and social conditions in the country following the COVID-19 pandemic, generating reliable nationwide information on food security constitutes a pressing need. This information is also essential to developing evidence-based public policies to address FI.

This study considers this challenging scenario and aims to quantify the prevalence of FI among Salvadorian households. Additionally, it seeks to identify the determinants of FI, and finally, it aims to explore the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on FI.

METHODS

This study was conducted following the Equator Network’s Standards for Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (known as STROBE) (15). Thus, this work is classified as a retrospective cross-sectional study. The data used in the study were collected by El Salvador’s General Directorate of Statistics and Censuses (Dirección General de Estadísticas y Censos; DIGESTYC) at the request of the FAO (16). Primary data collection was carried by DIGESTYC across El Salvador’s 14 geographical departments, based on a random household sample. Data were collected between November 24 and December 2, 2020. In light of the difficulties brought about by the pandemic, data were collected by telephone, using computer-assisted telephone interviewing. Respondents were at least 18 years old and only one respondent from each household was included. Being younger than 18 years and unwilling to participate were the only exclusion criteria. A total of 25 121 phone calls were made and 2358 surveys were completed, resulting in a 9.38% response rate. This analysis uses all 2358 surveys with valid responses.

Two different scales were used for data analysis and prevalence calculations. The first was the HHS (7). In this study, the calculations for this scale rely on three questions: In the past 30 days, was there ever no food to eat of any kind in your house because of a lack of resources to get food? (denoted here as HH1); in the past 30 days, did you or any household member go to sleep at night hungry because there was not enough food? (denoted here as HH2); in the past 30 days, did you or any household member go a whole day and night without eating anything at all because there was not enough food? (denoted here as HH3).

The HHS relies on a 30-day time frame because longer recall periods pose greater risks of inaccuracy (7). International guidelines advise that the HHS should be administered during or directly after the worst of the lean season (7).

If participants responded “yes” to any of the three HHS questions, they were asked to provide additional information about how often these events happened: rarely (coded as 1), sometimes (coded as 1) or often (coded as 2). If they did not respond “yes” to a question, the response was coded as 0. Based on these scores, an aggregated scale ranging from 0 to 6 was constructed. Following HHS guidelines (7), households with a total score between 0 and 1 are considered to have little to no hunger. Those with total scores between 2 and 6 are considered to face some degree of hunger: they are considered to face a moderate degree of hunger if their score is 2 or 3 and a severe degree of hunger if their score is in the range of 4 to 6.

Additionally, three items from the FAO’s HFIES were used (6, 16). Following HFIES guidelines (6), the three HHS questions denoted as HH1 to HH3 were asked using a 12-month time frame. These questions were denoted as HFIES1, HFIES2 and HFIES3. This shortened scale was used for comparison purposes because the HHS covers only a 30-day period. According to the HFIES, these three questions represent thresholds for severe and extreme food insecurity (6, 17). The FAO uses these three items to identify acute food insecurity occurring during a 12-month period. In order to aggregate these three questions for the comparative analysis, a scale of 0 to 3 was constructed. The value of 0 indicated no positive answers for the questions, while values of 1 to 3 indicated a positive answer to any of the three HFIES questions. Notably, a positive answer to any of them would indicate times during which the household had no food during the past 12 months and, as the most worrying scenario, had a household member who did not eat for a whole day. Respondents who answered “yes” to any of these questions, were also asked whether the lack of food was caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This question was used to explore the relationship between FI and the pandemic.

After the prevalence was calculated, statistical analyses were carried out to identify the determinants of FI. Binomial logistic regression was used for the determinants of household hunger, based on responses to the HHS, and ordered logistic regression was used to assess food deprivation during the previous 12 months, based on responses to the HFIES. The variables used to identify determinants are summarized in Table 1. They include household characteristics and information about agricultural practices and problems. These have been widely used in food security research (6, 1720). The odds ratios are reported with 95% confidence intervals and an error level of 0.05. Odds ratios are normally used to measure the association between exposures and outcomes (21), in this case to measure the association between all chosen covariates and FI. Missing values were excluded from the regressions.

TABLE 1. Description of dependent and independent variables used to assess food insecurity, El Salvador, 2020.

Variables

Description and scale

Dependent

  Model 1: HHS

Binomial, based on the aggregation of questions HH1, HH2 and HH3; 6-point scale.

Following the guidelines, if the consolidated score is 0 or 1, little to no hunger exists. If the score is 2 to 6, some hunger exists, with a score of 2 or 3 classified as moderate hunger and a score of 4 to 6 classified as severe.

These scores were coded into a binomial variable as:

1 = Hunger in the household

0 = No hunger in the household.

  Model 2: HFIES

Discrete, based on the aggregate score for responses to questions HH1, HH2 and HH3 (denoted as HFIES1 to HFIES3) with a 12-month time frame; 3-point scale.

A unified indicator ranging from 0 to 3 was constructed. A score of 0 indicates no positive answers; a score of 3 implies all answers were positive.

Independent

  No. of people in household

Continuous; the number of people in the household

  Rural area

Binomial; scored 0 or 1.

Is the house in an urban or rural area?

Values:

1 = Rura

0 = Urban.

  Educational level completed

Discrete; refers to the highest educational level achieved by any household member.

Values:

0 = None (reference)

1 = Did not complete primary school

2 = Completed primary school

3 = Completed secondary school

4 = Completed technical or professional education

5 = Completed university.

  Received government help

Binomial; the question was, In the past 30 days, did you receive any government help?

Values:

1= Received

0 = Did not receive.

  Use of native seeds

Binomial; refers to the use of native seeds in agriculture.

Values:

1= Used native seeds

0 = Did not use.

  Use of hybrid seeds

Binomial; refers to the use of hybrid seeds in agriculture.

Values:

1= Used hybrid seeds

0 = Did not use.

  Animals used for farm work

Binomial; the question was, Do you use animals for farm work?

Values:

1 = Yes

0 = No.

  Agriculture problems

Binomial; the question was, Did you experience problems with agriculture or livestock?

Values:

1= Yes

0 = No.

  Household income

Discrete; the question was, Taking February 2020 as a reference, how is your family’s income performing?

Values:

0 = Less income (reference)

1 = Same income

2 = More income.

HFIES: Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale; HHS: Household Hunger Scale.

Source: Table prepared by the author with data from the study.

To validate the binary model, the Pearson goodness-of-fit test statistic (P = 0.95) and the Hosmer–Lemeshow test (P = 0.93) were used. Additionally, the area under the curve was plotted (area under the curve = 0.69). All of these tests suggested a good model fit. Calculations were done using Stata 14 (StataCorp, College Station, TX).

Participants gave informed consent at the beginning of the contact to use and store their data. The survey was not completed if a potential respondent did not explicitly accept that their data could be used in this way. Staff from the FAO and DIGESTYC worked together to plan, conduct and supervise the study. This joint committee considered the ethical aspects of survey implementation.

RESULTS

The scores for the descriptive variables are summarized in Table 2. The mean age of respondents was 44 years (data not shown), and the most common level of education completed was secondary school, which was completed by 30.49% of the respondents. Around half of surveyed households engaged in agriculture and reported having problems during the previous 12 months. Furthermore, 69.02% (1615/2340) of households reported having less family income when compared with February 2020 (data not shown).

TABLE 2. Scores for descriptive statistics used to assess food insecurity, El Salvador, 2020.

Variable

No. of respondents

Mean score

Standard deviation

Score range

Minimum

Maximum

No. of people in household

2358

4.60

1.96

1

16

Rural area

2358

0.65

0.47

0

1

Educational level completed

2358

2.43

1.36

0

5

Received government help

2358

0.32

0.46

0

1

Use of native seeds

2070

0.34

0.47

0

1

Use of hybrid seeds

2070

0.73

0.44

0

1

Animals used for farm work

2358

0.07

0.26

0

1

Agriculture problems

2290

0.48

0.49

0

1

Household income

2340

0.32

0.50

0

2

Food scarcity, measured by HFIES

2358

0.57

0.89

0

3

HFIES1

2357

0.33

0.47

0

1

  Caused by the COVID-19 pandemic?

 785

0.94

0.22

0

1

HFIES2

2357

0.16

0.37

0

1

 Caused by the COVID-19 pandemic?

 394

0.96

0.17

0

1

HFIES3

2357

0.07

0.26

0

1

 Caused by the COVID-19 pandemic?

 179

0.96

0.19

0

1

Food insecurity, measured by HHS

2356

0.06

0.24

0

1

HH1

 785

0.30

0.46

0

1

HH2

 394

0.36

0.48

0

1

HH3

 177

0.40

0.49

0

1

HFIES: Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale; HHS: Household Hunger Scale.

Source: Table prepared by the author with data from the study.

The prevalence of household hunger as measured by the HHS reached 6.45% (152/2356) of households: 5.48% (129/2356) of these households were categorized as having moderate hunger and 0.98% (23/2356) as severe hunger. This indicator summarizes food deprivation during the past 30 days and identifies particularly fragile households. Nonetheless, this was lower than the FI prevalence as reported in other international studies using the same methodology (18, 20) and in those addressing hunger and food security during the pandemic (22).

In light of such a low prevalence, the HFIES might provide a more accurate comparison (16). According to the HFIES, 64.59% (1523/2358) of households did not experience FI and 35.41% (835/2358) of households did. Altogether, 18.74% (442/2358) reported at least one indicator of FI. These indicators identified in the HFIES are much closer to the official poverty level in 2020, which affected 26.2% of all households in the country (14). FI levels drop to 11.03% (260/2358) for households responding affirmatively to two HFIES questions and to 5.64% (133/2358) for those responding positively to three HFIES questions. Notably, 7.59% (179/2357) of households reported at least one member went a whole day without eating during the previous 12 months because there was not enough food or resources. In more than 94% (744/785) of cases, the COVID-19 pandemic was the reason for this food shortage. This confirms that the pandemic severely affected food security, and the magnitude of the effect, greater than 90%, highlights its enormous influence.

Figure 1 shows household hunger prevalence by geographical department. With a few exceptions, eastern departments, such as Usulután, San Miguel, Morazán and La Unión, presented higher hunger levels. These last four departments fall within the dry corridor, an area of historical drought that is often associated with FI (8, 12). Thus, the eastern parts of the country continue to face more challenges to food security. However, the metropolitan department of La Libertad accounted for the highest level of hunger among all geographical departments. Considering that La Libertad is home to a large proportion of the Salvadorian population and is located next to the capital, it might be prioritized when drafting assistance policies.

FIGURE 1. Prevalence of household hunger by geographical department, El Salvador, 2020.

FIGURE 1.

Source: Figure prepared by the author with data from the study.

Table 3 shows the results of the binary logistic regression model used to identify the determinants of household hunger. As expected, families who had the same income at the time of the study as in February 2020 have lower levels of hunger (P = 0.00, odds ratio [OR] = 0.48). Similarly, having a higher education level was inversely related to the prevalence of FI. This was the case for households with a member who had completed primary school (P = 0.09, OR = 0.56), completed secondary school (P = 0.00, OR = 0.31), completed technical school (P = 0.03, OR = 0.24) and completed university (P = 0.01, OR = 0.05). Likewise, experiencing agricultural problems negatively impacted hunger (P = 0.00, OR = 1.69).

TABLE 3. Logistic regression for the determinants of hunger using the Household Hunger Scale, El Salvador, 2020a.

Household Hunger Scale variable

Odds ratio (standard error)

zscore

P

95% confidence interval

No. of people in household

1.07 (0.04)

1.63

0.10

0.98 to 1.17

Rural area

0.91 (0.18)

−0.44

0.66

0.61 to 1.36

Educational level completed

  No education

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Primary not completed

0.75 (0.25)

−0.83

0.40

0.38 to 1.46

  Primary completed

0.56 (0.19)

−1.68

0.09

0.28 to 1.10

  Secondary completed

0.31 (0.11)

−3.2

0.00

0.15 to 0.63

  Technical or professional school

0.24 (0.16)

−2.13

0.03

0.06 to 0.89

  University

0.05 (0.04)

−3.79

0

0.01 to 0.24

Received government help

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.20 (0.22)

0.99

0.32

0.83 to 1.74

Use of native seeds

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.23 (0.25)

1

0.31

0.81 to 1.85

Use of hybrid seeds

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.21 (0.29)

0.79

0.43

0.74 to 1.97

Animals used for farm work

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

0.88 (0.29)

−0.37

0.70

0.46 to 1.68

Agriculture problems

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.69 (0.32)

2.79

0.00

1.17 to 2.46

Household income

  Less income

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Same income

0.48 (0.12)

−2.92

0.004

0.29 to 0.78

  More income

1.01 (0.75)

0.01

0.98

0.23 to 4.39

  Constant

0.07 (0.03)

−5.68

0

0.03 to 0.18

a

Pseudo R2 = 0.0688.

Source: Table prepared by the author with data from the study.

The determinant analysis for the HFIES items is summarized in Table 4. The number of household members is an explanatory variable (P = 0.00, OR = 1.10). And similar to the HHS determinants, family income and education levels played important roles. Those who had the same income at the time of the study as they did in February 2020 had a lower chance of experiencing FI (P = 0.00, OR = 0.53). In the same way, higher education levels were associated with lower levels of FI, particularly for those households in which the highest level of education completed was secondary education (P = 0.00, OR = 0.55), technical school (P = 0.00, OR = 0.31), and university (P = 0.00, OR = 0.21). Additionally, households with agricultural problems were more likely to experience FI (P = 0.00, OR = 1.49). Closely related to these determinants, those who reported using hybrid seed were also more likely to experience FI (P = 0.02, OR = 1.32).

TABLE 4. Ordered logistic model for the determinants of food scarcity using the Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale, El Salvador, 2020a.

Household Food Insecurity Experience Scale variable

Odds ratio (standard error)

z score

P

95% confidence interval

No. of people in household

1.10 (0.02)

4.36

0.00

1.05 to 1.15

Rural area

1.13 (0.11)

1.23

0.22

0.92 to 1.39

Educational level completed

  No education

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Primary not completed

0.94 (0.20)

−0.24

0.81

0.62 to 1.45

  Primary completed

0.86 (0.18)

−0.68

0.49

0.56 to 1.31

  Secondary completed

0.55 (0.12)

−2.7

0.00

0.36 to 0.85

  Technical or professional school

0.31 (0.10)

−3.43

0.00

0.15 to 0.60

  University

0.21 (0.05)

−5.72

0.00

0.12 to 0.36

Received government help

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

0.95 (0.09)

−0.5

0.61

0.78 to 1.15

Use of native seeds

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.08 (0.11)

0.71

0.47

0.87 to 1.33

Use of hybrid seeds

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.32 (0.16)

2.29

0.02

1.04 to 1.69

Animals used for farm work

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

0.90 (0.14)

−0.6

0.55

0.65 to 1.25

Agriculture problems

  No

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Yes

1.49 (0.14)

4.26

0.00

1.24 to 1.79

Household income

  Less income

1 (reference)

 

 

 

  Same income

0.53 (0.06)

−5.54

0.00

0.43 to 0.66

  More income

0.95 (0.36)

−0.11

0.91

0.45 to 2.00

Cut point 1

0.98 (0.26)

 

 

0.47 to 1.49

Cut point 2

2.07 (0.26)

 

 

1.55 to 2.58

Cut point 3

3.31 (0.27)

 

 

2.77 to 3.85

a

Pseudo R2 = 0.0463.

Source: Table prepared by the author with data from the study.

DISCUSSION

When using a 30-day time frame, the prevalence of household hunger was estimated to be 6.45% of households, representing a relatively low prevalence when compared with other international studies (18, 19, 22, 23). But when using the 12-month time frame, the prevalence is estimated to be substantially higher, at 35.41% of households. Of those households that experienced FI, 18.74% reported at least one positive answer to the HFIES questions. Also, there was a decrease in FI among families responding positively to two and three HFIES items, as those percentages drop to 11.03% and to 5.64% of households, respectively. Similar differences in indicators of FI have been found in other international studies when comparing these two methodologies (18, 23). For El Salvador, the prevalence of FI as measured by the three HFIES questions is closer to the official poverty level in 2020, which peaked at 26.2% of households (14). Hence, this indicator seems to more accurately represent the country’s food security status in 2020.

Additionally, differences in the two scales suggest that the time chosen for data collection (between November 24 and December 2, 2020), represented times when the most critical FI crisis had already occurred. It is likely that the most severe period for FI corresponded to the quarantine and lockdown orders, which occurred between February and August 2020. After August, the economy suddenly reopened, and numerous economic indicators – such as the gross domestic product, exports and job creation – started to recover (10). Thus, when the 12-month time frame was used, the FI prevalence substantially increased. The differences in prevalence levels found using these two different methodological guidelines highlight the need for up-to-date indicators that are measured within appropriate time scales because immediate policies may be drafted based on results from the HHS while mid-term policies may be based on results from the HFIES. Future research might consider using the full HFIES scale, along with other relevant alternatives, such as the Integrated Classification of Food Security (or CIF) scale (8) or the USDA’s Guide to measuring household food security (5). Similarly, future studies could also collect anthropometric information, as this text relies only on social and economic indicators of FI.

The exploration of the COVID-19 pandemic’s influence on FI emphasizes that between 94.78% and 96.09% of respondents attributed their hunger to the pandemic (questions 1 to 3 on the HFIES). Of particular concern are those households that reported having at least one member who went one full day without eating during the previous 12 months, which was 7.59% of total households. This indicator serves as a threshold for identifying severe FI (6, 17). According to self-reports, the pandemic directly affected food security, a trend that had already been identified in relevant international studies (8, 11).

Moreover, the determinants of FI prevalence yielded similar explanatory variables, irrespective of the measurement scale used. One of the most prominent was income: those households that reported having the same income at the time of the study as in February 2020 had a lower prevalence of FI across either a 30-day (P = 0.00, OR = 0.48) or 12-month (P = 0.00, OR = 0.53) period. These results align with other relevant studies reporting an inverse relationship between FI and household income (17, 24, 25). This implies that ensuring people possess enough economic resources or food is a pressing public health matter in El Salvador. To that end, public policies, such as food donations or monetary transfers, may represent valid ways to address FI (26), although such initiatives have faced multiple barriers in El Salvador (27).

Similarly, the number of household members proved to be a determinant of and positively associated with FI (in the HFIES, P = 0.00, OR = 1.10), contrary to findings in other studies (23, 28). However, international empirical evidence is not conclusive when assessing the influence of the number of household members on FI (28).

Additionally, those households reporting agricultural problems during 2020 had higher levels of FI, either measured through the HHS (P = 0.00, OR = 1.69) or HFIES (P = 0.00, OR = 1.49). In a country such as El Salvador, with numerous households engaged in agriculture, it is increasingly necessary to ensure acceptable food production and consumption standards are met. It may be relevant to consider developing public policies such as widespread agricultural subsidies or the use of native seeds (2931). Also, households using hybrid crop seed appeared to have a higher prevalence of FI. One explanation for this might be that production using hybrid seed requires more expensive agricultural inputs, and households experienced a general reduction in income in 2020.

Even those variables that are not determinants might provide some key information about FI in the country. For instance, rural households were not more prone to FI. Historically in El Salvador, rural areas are more economically fragile (14). Additionally, agricultural production was harmed during 2020 due to social and environmental factors. Social factors include the strict mobility restrictions (i.e. the lockdowns) put in place to fight the pandemic in 2020. Environmental stressors include excess precipitation during the rainy season, particularly tropical storms and hurricanes Amanda, Cristobal, Eta and Iota (32, 33). These environmental events destroyed 60% of vegetable crops and almost 6 million kg of beans (9). Similarly, Oxfam International estimated that 150000 people were affected by these storms (13). Consideration of these conditions would lead to predictions that rural households would be more prone to FI. Surprisingly, the evidence in this study does not support rural households having a higher FI prevalence.

Another variable that seemed not to have a determining role was governmental assistance. Although 32.70% (771/2358) of households reported having received governmental support during the 30 days before data collection, this was irrelevant to the prevalence of FI. This may be partially explained by the fact that many public schemes have been flagged as inefficient and even politically biased, both before the pandemic (29, 34) and during the current COVID-19 health emergency (27).

CONCLUSIONS

This paper reports the FI prevalence in El Salvador in 2020. The two different scales report varying prevalence indicators, but the HFIES most closely matched El Salvador’s poverty level. However, regardless of the scale used, the COVID-19 pandemic seems to have been a major catalyst for FI, with more than 94% of households attributing their food shortages to it.

The study also quantifies the determinants of FI in El Salvador in 2020. To the author’s knowledge, no similar work has been published. The determinants of FI in El Salvador in 2020 included lower income, lower educational level and issues with agriculture (i.e. problems, use of hybrid seeds). Households with these traits should be of special concern, as their food security may be more fragile than households without these characteristics. Public, and even private, action to counter FI, should target populations with these characteristics. Future research should use scales with both short and medium time frames. Similarly, collecting and incorporating anthropometric data could potentially strengthen food security research in the future.

Disclaimer.

The author holds sole responsibility for the views expressed in the manuscript, which may not necessarily reflect the opinion or policy of the Revista Panamericana de Salud Pública/Pan American Journal of Public Health or those of the Pan American Health Organization.

Acknowledgments.

The author expresses his gratitude to Karina Cantó for her kind support. Similarly, Jerry Arguello’s assistance is appreciated. The author thanks Oscar Peña Rodas for proofreading the document. Special gratitude to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations for providing the data set and key supporting information.

Footnotes

Author’s contributions.

CAD is the sole author of the text. CAD conceived the original idea, analyzed the data, interpreted the results, wrote the paper and revised it according to the reviewers’ comments.

Funding.

No funding was received for this study.

Conflicts of interest.

None declared.

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