TABLE 3.
Period 1 | Period 2 | |||||
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Overall | (August–September 2021) | (Jan–March 2022) | ||||
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Percent | 95% CI | Percent | 95% CI | Percent | 95% CI | |
Dog 1 | ||||||
Sensitivity | 68.5 | (59.7–76.3) | 83.1 | (73.7–90.2) | 36.6 | (22.1–53.1) |
Specificity | 98.0 | (97.4–98.4) | 98.4 | (97.1–99.2) | 97.9 | (97.2–98.4) |
ROC area | 83.2 | (79.2–87.2) | 90.8 | (87.0–95.0) | 67.2 | (59.8–74.7) |
Positive predictive value | 59.3 | (51.0–67.3) | 88.1 | (79.2–94.1) | 21.2 | (11.1–34.7) |
Negative predictive value | 98.6 | (98.1–99.0) | 97.6 | (96.1–98.7) | 99.1 | (98.6–99.3) |
Dog 2 | ||||||
Sensitivity | 70.6 | (61.5–78.6) | 82 | (72.5–89.4) | 36.7 | (19.9–56.1) |
Specificity | 97.7 | (97.0–98.2) | 96.1 | (94.3–97.5) | 98.1 | (97.4–98.6) |
ROC area | 84.1 | (80.0–88.2) | 89.1 | (85.0–93.0) | 67.4 | (58.6–76.2) |
Positive predictive value | 56.4 | (48.0–64.5) | 75.3 | (65.5–83.5) | 41.9 | (29.1–55.7) |
Negative predictive value | 98.7 | (98.2–99.1) | 97.4 | (95.8–98.5) | 97.6 | (96.9–98.2) |
Dog 3 | ||||||
Sensitivity | 74.6 | (66.2–81.8) | 89.9 | (81.7–95.3) | 41.5 | (26.3–57.9) |
Specificity | 97.4 | (96.7–97.9) | 97.4 | (95.7–98.5) | 97.4 | (96.6–98.0) |
ROC area | 86.0 | (82.2–89.8) | 93.6 | (90.0–97.0) | 69.0 | (61.8–77.0) |
Positive predictive value | 55.1 | (47.4–62.6) | 83.0 | (74.4–90.2) | 21.3 | (12.9–31.8) |
Negative predictive value | 98.9 | (98.4–99.2) | 98.5 | (97.2–99.3) | 99.0 | (98.5–99.3) |
Dog 4 | ||||||
Sensitivity | 64.1 | (55.1–72.3) | 75.0 | (64.6–83.6) | 40.0 | (24.9–56.7) |
Specificity | 96.9 | (96.1–97.5) | 97.2 | (95.6–98.4) | 96.7 | (95.8–97.5) |
ROC area | 80.5 | (76.0–85.0) | 86.1 | (82.0–91.0) | 68.4 | (60.7–76.1) |
Positive predictive value | 51.9 | (43.8–59.9) | 79.5 | (69.2–87.6) | 21.3 | (12.7–32.3) |
Negative predictive value | 98.1 | (97.4–98.6) | 96.4 | (94.6–97.7) | 98.7 | (98.0–99.1) |
At least one dog | ||||||
Sensitivity | 83.9 | (75.8–90.2) | 97.6 | (91.6–99.7) | 44.8 | (26.4–64.3) |
Specificity | 94.9 | (93.9–95.8) | 92.6 | (90.1–94.6) | 95.7 | (94.6–96.7) |
ROC area | 90.0 | (86.0–92.9) | 95.1 | (93.1–97.1) | 70.3 | (61.1–79.5) |
Positive predictive value | 46.3 | (39.3–53.4) | 65.9 | (56.8–74.2) | 16.3 | (8.95–26.2) |
Negative predictive value | 99.1 | (98.6–99.5) | 99.6 | (98.6–100.0) | 99.0 | (98.3–99.4) |