Table 5a.

Modelling The Effects of COVID-19 on Violent Discipline Score In Nigeria.

Exposures	Base model			Scenario 1: High COVID-19 restrictions			Scenario 2: Lower COVID-19 restrictions
	(A) Proportion or mean	(B) Multivariate regression coefficient	(C) Violent discipline score for "average child" [A*B]	Assumption	(E) Proportion or mean	(F) Violent discipline score for "average child" [B*E]	Assumption	(G) Proportion or mean	(H) Violent discipline score for "average child" [B*G]
Model constant
Constant		37.00	37.00	N/A	N/A	37.00	N/A	N/A	37.00
Intermediate variables
Attended school during current school year (child)	0.95	−0.51	−0.48	89% decrease	0.10	−0.05	1.03% decrease	0.94	−0.47
Hours of economic activity in the past week (child)	3.41	0.08	0.28	41% increase	4.81	0.39	21% increase	4.13	0.34
Hours of household chores in the past week (child)	7.05	0.07	0.52	13% increase	7.96	0.58	6.5% increase	7.51	0.55
Proportion of young people who have a job	0.33	2.40	0.78	17.32% decrease	0.27	0.65	45.02% decrease	0.18	0.43
Average happiness among household members aged 15−25 years	4.54	−4.69	−21.31	50.98% decrease	2.23	−10.45	7.84% decrease	4.19	−19.64
Wealth Quintiles
Poorest	0.17		0.00	No change	0.17	0.00	8.81% increase in poor	0.26	0.00
Second	0.21	−1.23	−0.26		0.21	−0.26		0.19	−0.23
Middle	0.23	0.01	0.00		0.23	0.00		0.21	0.00
Fourth	0.20	0.58	0.12		0.20	0.12		0.18	0.10
Richest	0.18	−2.16	−0.39		0.18	−0.39		0.16	−0.34
Days alcohol was used in the past month (men)	1.43	−0.03	−0.05	No change	1.43	−0.05	0.5 days increase	1.93	−0.07
Days alcohol was used in the past month (women)	0.36	0.04	0.01	No change	0.36	0.01	No change	0.36	0.01
Number of household members	11.30	0.01	0.16	0.1 person increase	11.40	0.16	0.1 person increase	11.40	0.16
Female headed household	0.03	14.20	0.40	No change	0.03	0.40	No change	0.03	0.40
Other covariates
Sum of all covariates			15.85			15.85			15.85
Violent discipline score			32.63			43.97			34.09
Change in violent discipline score				34.75%			4.48%