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. 2021 Apr 2;185:688–701. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.03.019

Table 7.

The Effect of Misaligned Political Beliefs on Adherence to Social Distancing Orders.

% Completely at Home
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Full Sample Rep Dem Dem Dem
State Policy 0.019*** 0.019*** 0.037*** 0.021** 0.023**
(5.00) (4.62) (4.32) (2.24) (2.37)
State Policy×Misalign 0.003* 0.002 0.007** 0.009*** 0.008**
(1.87) (1.07) (2.06) (2.71) (2.50)
Base Demographic Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Robustness Controls No No No Yes Yes
Health Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Other Closures Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Trump Vote Control No No No No Yes
County FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Date FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
R2 0.750 0.731 0.818 0.829 0.829
Observations 321,741 262,713 59,028 58,916 58,916

Note: This table reports the impact of misaligned political beliefs between residents and the policy announcer (the governor) on social distancing behavior. The unit of observation is a county-day. Misalign equals one if the county is Democratic (Republican) and the governor is Republican (Democratic) and equals zero otherwise. Robustness controls include the number of people in a county with a bachelors degree or higher, the racial makeup of a county (percent white, black, asian, and native american), the proportion of residents that believe climate change is human-induced, the fraction of residents that are male, a county’s social capital, the proportion of residents who can reasonably work from home (measured at the MSA level), and the daily precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature in a county. Definitions of dependent variables and controls can be found in Table A.1. t-statistics, based on standard errors double-clustered at the county and date level, are reported in parentheses. *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.