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. 2021 Feb 11;128:31–44. doi: 10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.01.061

Table 4.

Basic volatility model.

(1) (2) (3)
Variables RET Conditional Variance Process Conditional Variance Process
RETt-1 0.0003
(0.0251)
RVX −0.0643***
(0.0065)
LVO 0.0003
(0.0005)
LOP 0.0469***
(0.0046)
LGD 0.0001
(0.0003)
CTC −0.0017*** 4.3095*** 2.2169
(0.0003) (0.5176) (6.1079)
CTD −0.0079*** 2.7830*** −5.9128
(0.0008) (0.3749) (4.7610)
CSC 0.0003 0.0561* 1.1170**
(0.0019) (0.0314) (0.5408)
CSD −0.0051* 0.2407*** 1.5135**
(0.0029) (0.0395) (0.6985)
RES −0.2890***
(0.0469)
RES*CTC 0.4601
(1.4461)
RES*CTD 2.2313**
(1.1241)
RES*CSC −0.2414*
(0.1237)
RES*CSD −0.2904*
(0.1593)
α 0.0077 0.0008
(0.0145) (0.0139)
γ 0.4928*** 0.4702***
(0.0208) (0.0213)
δ 0.3987*** 0.3325***
(0.0397) (0.0385)
λ0 −5.3731*** −4.7474***
(0.3449) (0.3695)
p-value for equality of CTC and CTD 0.016 0.000
p-value for equality of CTC and CTD 0.015 0.000
Observation 9,848 5,989 5,989
R2 0.1844
No. of countries 34
Time FE Yes No No
Country FE Yes No No

Note: This table shows the results of our conditional mean Eq. (1) using a dynamic panel model with fixed effects in column one. We capture the conditional variance process from Eq. (1) using EGARCH (1,1) in column two. Therefore, columns (1) and (2) are referred to as our basic return and volatility model, respectively. Our remaining analysis is based on the conditional variance process reported in column (2) of this table. Column (3) reports the results related to the impact of country-level resilience (RES) and its interaction with COVID-19 cases and deaths on volatility (Eq. (7)).

***, ** and * indicates statistical significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.