Table 3.
Summary of the forecasting results in stage 2.
| Destination (bottom quarter, 2020) | Indicator | Scenario mild | Scenario medium | Scenario severe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia (Q2) | Deepest impact | −99.45% | −99.45% | −99.45% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 70.98% | 41.58% | 12.26% | |
| Bulgaria (Q2) | Deepest impact | −79.99% | −97.34% | −98.41% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 70.98% | 41.58% | 12.26% | |
| Canada (Q2) | Deepest impact | −82.58% | −97.55% | −98.53% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 77.44% | 49.43% | 22.84% | |
| Chile (Q1) | Deepest impact | −90.67% | −99.14% | −99.47% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 88.76% | 63.51% | 27.12% | |
| Czech Republic (Q2) | Deepest impact | −82.94% | −97.52% | −98.50% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 92.95% | 62.98% | 27.42% | |
| Finland (Q3) | Deepest impact | −76.47% | −95.16% | −97.58% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 82.01% | 59.11% | 25.54% | |
| Indonesia (Q1) | Deepest impact | −91.51% | −98.51% | −99.50% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 79.37% | 50.83% | 19.38% | |
| Japan (Q2) | Deepest impact | −99.92% | −99.92% | −99.92% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 66.92% | 44.53% | 20.29% | |
| Malaysia (Q2) | Deepest impact | −80.42% | −97.55% | −98.53% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 76.21% | 49.77% | 24.20% | |
| Mauritius (Q2) | Deepest impact | −96.91% | −98.08% | −98.88% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 59.64% | 36.32% | 10.43% | |
| Mexico (Q1) | Deepest impact | −95.98% | −99.37% | −99.79% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 77.06% | 50.23% | 25.17% | |
| New Zealand (Q2) | Deepest impact | −99.00% | −99.00% | −99.00% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 62.16% | 37.23% | 12.62% | |
| Singapore (Q2) | Deepest impact | −99.92% | −99.92% | −99.92% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 93.30% | 77.06% | 40.17% | |
| South Africa (Q2) | Deepest impact | −90.33% | −98.52% | −99.11% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 71.28% | 48.05% | 19.81% | |
| South Korea (Q2) | Deepest impact | −97.86% | −97.86% | −97.86% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 79.39% | 49.89% | 21.60% | |
| Sweden (Q2) | Deepest impact | −82.44% | −97.36% | −98.41% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 69.14% | 47.93% | 22.53% | |
| Thailand (Q2) | Deepest impact | −84.99% | −97.90% | −98.76% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 73.38% | 46.21% | 21.33% | |
| Tunisia (Q2) | Deepest impact | −90.00% | −97.39% | −98.52% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 87.34% | 55.06% | 24.15% | |
| UK (Q2) | Deepest impact | −80.42% | −97.55% | −98.53% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 82.41% | 61.36% | 31.56% | |
| USA (Q2) | Deepest impact | −84.99% | −97.90% | −98.76% |
| 2021 recovery rate | 73.38% | 46.21% | 21.33% |