TABLE 2.
Predicted suitable area for Corynorhinus townsendii roosts in California under present and future conditions for all temporal and geographic subsets modeled.
| Geographic extent/Colony type | Range shift | Present | SSP1‐2.6 2061‐2080 | SSP5‐8.5 2061‐2080 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Colonies State‐Wide | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 150,191 | 142,245 | 123,865 |
| Expansion (km2) | 2728 | 33,530 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 10,647 | 7205 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 139,544 | 116,661 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −7945 (−5%) | −26,325 (−17.5%) | ||
| Hibernacula State‐Wide | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 91,503 | 87,538 | 70,081 |
| Expansion (km2) | 3931 | 7424 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 7897 | 28,846 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 83,607 | 62,658 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −3966 (−4%) | −21, 422 (−23%) | ||
| Maternity State‐Wide | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 162,224 | 142,460 | 130,307 |
| Expansion (km2) | 3428 | 9445 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 23,192 | 41,362 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 139,033 | 120,862 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −19,764 (−12%) | −31,918 (−20%) | ||
| Transition State‐Wide | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 120,002 | 123,287 | 125,626 |
| Expansion (km2) | 7729 | 22,455 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 4444 | 16,831 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 115,558 | 103,171 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | +3286 (+3%) | 5624 (+5%) | ||
| Ecoregion 1 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 6979 | 7009 | 6804 |
| Expansion (km2) | 320 | 271 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 289 | 446 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 6690 | 6533 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −31 (+0.4%) | −175 (−2.5%) | ||
| Ecoregion 4 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 3128 | 2812 | 3233 |
| Expansion (km2) | 283 | 999 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 599 | 894 | ||
| Maintained | 2529 | 2234 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −316 (−10%) | +105 (+3%) | ||
| Ecoregion 5 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 22,675 | 18,689 | 12,035 |
| Expansion (km2) | 1040 | 375 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 5027 | 11,016 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 17,648 | 11,660 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −3987 (−18%) | −10,641 (−47%) | ||
| Ecoregion 6 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 54,439 | 12,978 | 27,417 |
| Expansion (km2) | 0.5 | 302 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 41,462 | 302 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 12,978 | 27,115 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −41,462 (−76%) | −27,022(−59%) | ||
| Ecoregion 8 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 4337 | 4000 | 4292 |
| Expansion (km2) | 127 | 356 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 464 | 401 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 3873 | 3936 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −337 (−8%) | −45 (−1%) | ||
| Ecoregion 13 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 8977 | 8272 | 7679 |
| Expansion (km2) | 186 | 269 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 828 | 1567 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 8086 | 7410 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −705 (−8%) | −1298 (−14%) | ||
| Ecoregion 14 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 24,028 | 7912 | 9682 |
| Expansion (km2) | 0 | 0 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 16,116 | 14,347 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 7912 | 9682 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −16,116 (−67%) | −14,347 (−60%) | ||
| Ecoregion 78 | Total Occupied Area (km2) | 11,857 | 10,669 | 12,111 |
| Expansion (km2) | 1637 | 2975 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 2825 | 2721 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 9032 | 9136 | ||
| Change Compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −1187 (−10%) | +254 (+2%) | ||
| Ecoregion 85 | Total suitable habitat (km2) | 4556 | 3852 | 4719 |
| Expansion (km2) | 17 | 11 | ||
| Contraction (km2) | 722 | 148 | ||
| Maintained (km2) | 3834 | 4408 | ||
| Change compared to current distribution (km2, %) | −704 (−15%) | +163 (+4%) |