Table 1.

Comparison of observed, projected and BMI-adjusted age-standardised mortality rates per 100 000 population among 35–89-year olds, Scotland and England, 2016–2019.

	Males					Females
	Year	Observed rate	BMI-adjusted rate	Projected rate (1991)	% of observed-projected difference attributable to change in BMI	Observed rate	BMI-adjusted rate	Projected rate (1991)	% of observed-projected difference attributable to change in BMI
Scotland	2016	1777.7	1744.9	1565.6	15.5	1276.2	1257.0	1180.3	20.0
	2017	1775.7	1744.4	1506.3	11.6	1282.8	1263.7	1151.6	14.5
	2018	1762.1	1729.9	1447.1	10.2	1277.0	1257.3	1122.8	12.8
	2019	1716.3	1684.0	1387.8	9.8	1245.1	1224.9	1094.1	13.4
	2017–2019	1750.7	1718.8	1447.1	10.5	1268.0	1248.3	1122.8	13.6
England	2016	1472.1	1411.2	1252.0	27.7	1042.1	1000.1	951.1	46.2
	2017	1459.7	1399.2	1196.3	23.0	1029.2	987.8	923.6	39.2
	2018	1453.1	1392.6	1140.6	19.4	1026.7	985.2	896.2	31.8
	2019	1404.2	1345.7	1084.9	18.3	985.5	945.5	868.8	34.2
	2017–2019	1438.5	1378.6	1140.6	20.1	1013.5	972.6	896.2	34.9

Italic format values distinguish the three-year rows from the single-year rows above.

BMI, Body Mass Index.