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. 2021 Apr 18;295(2):648–663. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.04.016

Table 8.

For each value of λ, Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of the ensemble for Testing Period 1, 2 and 3 in Andalusia. For each period, the best performance is highlighted in bold. Last row contains the MSE and MAE of the persistence model tested.

Testing Period 1
Testing Period 2
Testing Period 3
(04/04/2020–17/04/2020)
(15/04/2020–28/04/2020)
(07/05/2020–20/05/2020)
λ MSE MAE MSE MAE MSE MAE
0 309188.29 532.71 174813.93 372.79 188.86 11.00
210 302755.21 526.93 22697.21 120.07 12713.93 88.64
29 298320.21 523.07 154944.93 369.50 12623.93 88.36
28 288510.14 514.14 311559.21 518.21 585.00 18.57
27 151329.79 368.50 311996.36 518.64 3353.57 51.43
26 3290.07 40.50 105662.43 311.86 1635.64 35.36
25 9174.07 71.21 21515.93 118.07 565.00 20.43
24 8477.29 68.29 554612.29 585.43 214.64 12.21
23 10905.86 78.86 1034287.57 841.14 243.57 13.29
22 11893.29 82.86 580431.07 625.79 351.07 16.50
21 11893.29 82.86 620786.79 648.36 397.14 17.57
20 11893.29 82.86 705260.29 694.43 498.00 19.86
21 11893.29 82.86 890921.71 786.86 737.07 24.36
22 11893.29 82.86 1310319.64 964.93 1387.93 33.36
23 11893.29 82.86 1310319.64 964.93 2236.71 42.14
Persistence 3243399.00 1429.89 183250.60 347.38 228.52 10.98