Table 3.
Model estimation results of Wave 2 (June–September).
| Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | |||
| Intercept | 8.759*** (0.089) |
8.900*** (0.091) |
17.883*** (0.648) |
| Democrats | – | – | −1.745*** (0.229) |
| % Below-Poverty | – | – | 0.017 (0.015) |
| Ln COVID-19 Severity | – | – | 0.986*** (0.114) |
| Restriction Policy Level | – | – | −0.023* (0.009) |
| Ln Population Density | – | – | −1.074*** (0.063) |
| Slope | |||
| Slope | – | −0.094*** (0.007) |
−0.345*** (0.054) |
| Democrats | – | – | 0.069*** (0.019) |
| % Below-Poverty | – | – | −0.002 (0.001) |
| Ln COVID-19 Severity | – | – | −0.034*** (0.010) |
| Restriction Policy Level | – | – | 0.001 (0.001) |
| Ln Population Density | – | – | 0.028*** (0.005) |
| Model fit indices | |||
| AIC | 35,446.48 | 34,902.44 | 34,199.51 |
| BIC | 35,468.27 | 34,946.02 | 34,315.74 |
| -2LL | 35,440.48 | 34,890.44 | 34,167.52 |
Notes: * denotes p < 0.05; *** denotes p < 0.001. Standard errors in parenthesis. Model 4: no-growth model; Model 5: linear growth model; Model 6: linear growth model with time-invariant covariates.