Table 3.

Event History Analysis of the Issuance of Stay-at-home Orders.

Variables	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)
Population	0.048	0.391	−0.073	0.238
	(0.907)	(0.326)	(0.866)	(0.569)
Urbanization	0.012	0.069	−0.023	0.021
	(0.959)	(0.759)	(0.926)	(0.928)
Population density	0.067	0.009	0.253	0.150
	(0.907)	(0.987)	(0.683)	(0.797)
Airport activity	0.172	0.073	0.219	0.157
	(0.709)	(0.879)	(0.670)	(0.761)
GSP	−0.368	−0.525	−0.577	−0.690
	(0.328)	(0.198)	(0.168)	(0.128)
Income inequality	0.347	0.449	0.438	0.528
	(0.285)	(0.107)	(0.151)	(0.066)
No. of physicians	0.112	−0.038	0.120	0.006
	(0.793)	(0.930)	(0.779)	(0.989)
Hospital bed utilization	0.959	0.730	0.633	0.500
	(0.061)	(0.104)	(0.198)	(0.247)
Presidential swing state	−1.347	−1.448	−1.621	−1.695
	(0.007)	(0.004)	(0.002)	(0.003)
Facing reelection	−0.416	−0.666	−1.197	−1.281
	(0.529)	(0.317)	(0.163)	(0.099)
Term limits	1.053	1.559	1.348	1.683
	(0.045)	(0.023)	(0.028)	(0.019)
Went Republican	−1.138	−0.226	−0.950	−0.159
	(0.007)	(0.545)	(0.050)	(0.694)
Female	−0.399	−0.315	−0.427	−0.354
	(0.444)	(0.515)	(0.427)	(0.476)
Governor age	−0.316	−0.442	−0.575	−0.633
	(0.147)	(0.048)	(0.022)	(0.011)
Governing discretion	−1.346	−3.877	−1.550	−3.713
	(0.009)	(0.004)	(0.012)	(0.007)
Governing demands	−0.543	−0.363	−1.217	−0.952
	(0.523)	(0.628)	(0.236)	(0.310)
Democratic governor	1.967	0.509	3.247	1.704
	(0.001)	(0.338)	(0.000)	(0.044)
Democratic governor ×		3.677		3.241
Governing discretion		(0.007)		(0.017)
Democratic governor ×			2.752	2.229
Governing demands			(0.027)	(0.062)
Constant	−15.778	−17.283	−17.569	−18.502
	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)	(0.000)
Observations	993	993	993	993

Note: The models provide weighted estimates using inverse-probability weights. The models are specified with robust standard errors clustered by state. Exact p-values in parentheses.