Table 2.
Results of base-case analysis and scenario analysis.
| Drug | OS | Only PFS | Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost(95%CI) | Life-years | Utility(95%CI) | Cost(95%CI) | Life-years | Utility(95%CI) | Increment cost(95%CI) | Increment utility(95%CI) | ICER(95%CI) | |
| base-case analysis | |||||||||
| Chemotherapy | 18,071.13 (18,055.61-18,093.51) | 1.323 | 0.871 (0.870-0.872) | 9,177.51 (9,169.85-9,189.65) | 0.726 | 0.482 (0.481-0.483) | —— | —— | —— |
| Sintilimab plus chemotherapy | 43,636.61 (43,603.14-43,679.08) | 2.782 | 1.712 (1.710-1.714) | 22,691.80 (22,673.36-22,711.76) | 1.338 | 0.900 (0.898-0.901) | 25,565.48 (25,546.61-25,586.48) | 0.841 (0.840-0.842) | 30,409.44 (30,343.93-30,534.52) |
| scenario analysis | |||||||||
| Chemotherapy | 20,783.76 (20,741.69-20,797.99) | 1.522 | 1.002 (1.001-1.004) | 11,606.04 (11,598.02-11,614.03) | 0.904 | 0.598 (0.596-0.599) | —— | —— | —— |
| Sintilimab plus chemotherapy | 40,065.40 (39,999.90-40,089.46) | 2.523 | 1.598 (1.595-1.600) | 30,775.25 (30,724.66-30,794.23) | 2.005 | 1.267 (1.264-1.270) | 19,281.64 (19,256.47-19,293.21) | 0.595 (0.594-0.597) | 32,376.78 (32,277.35-32,497.35) |
ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio; QALY, quality-adjusted life years; PFS, progression-free survival; OS, overall survival; CI, confidence interval.
Unit of cost is USD; unit of utility is QALY.
95% confidence intervals of the life-years are not provided, since the input survival rate is fixed.