Table 8.

Percent Changes in Semi-annual Real GDP Due to Deaths and Illnesses and Health Care Expenses under the Alternative Scenarios, (cumulative percent differences from baseline).

Scenario	2020_1	2020_2	2021_1	2021_2	2022_1	2022_2	2023_1	2023_2
Scenario 1
Deaths and Illnesses	0.0	−0.1	−0.3	−0.5	−0.6	−0.7	−0.8	−0.8
Health care expenses	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.4
Scenario 2
Deaths and Illnesses	0.0	0.0	−0.1	−0.1	−0.2	−0.2	−0.2	−0.2
Health care expenses	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2
Scenario 3a
Deaths and Illnesses	0.0	−0.3	−0.8	−1.0	−1.2	−1.4	−1.5	−1.6
Health care expenses	7.4	5.3	2.9	2.1	1.9	1.9	2.0	2.0
Scenario 3b
Deaths and Illnesses	0.0	−0.2	−0.7	−0.9	−1.0	−1.1	−1.2	−1.3
Health care expenses	5.8	4.9	3.1	2.5	2.2	2.0	2.0	1.9