Table 1. Median (range) rating scores of the likelihood of cancer curability today.
| Cancer type | Stage I | Stage II | Stage III | Stage IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thyroid | 9 (8–9) | 8 (7–9) | 7 (6–9) | 5 (1–7) |
| Colon/rectum | 9 (8–9) | 8 (7–8) | 5 (3–6) | 1.5 (1–3) |
| Kidney | 9 (7–9) | 8 (6–8) | 5 (4–6) | 2 (1–2) |
| Uterus | 9 (8–9) | 8 (7–8) | 5 (5–7) | 1 (1–3) |
| Anus | 9 (8–9) | 8 (6–8) | 5 (5–7) | 1 (1–3) |
| Head and neck | 9 (7–9) | 7.5 (6–8) | 5 (3–6) | 3 (1–5) |
| Breast | 9 (7–9) | 7.5 (6–8) | 5.5 (4–6) | 1 (1–2) |
| Cervix | 9 (8–9) | 7 (6–8) | 5 (4–6) | 1 (1–3) |
| Melanoma | 9 (8–9) | 7 (6–8) | 4 (3–6) | 1.5 (1–8) |
| Prostate | 8.5 (7–9) | 8 (7–9) | 5.5 (4–8) | 1 (1–5) |
| Sarcoma | 8 (6–8) | 7 (4–7) | 4 (2–5) | 1 (1–2) |
| Ovary | 8 (7–9) | 7 (5–8) | 3 (2–5) | 1 (1–3) |
| Bladder | 8.5 (7–9) | 6.5 (6–8) | 4 (3–5) | 1 (1–2) |
| Urothelial tract | 8 (6–9) | 5.5 (5–7) | 4 (3–5) | 1.5 (1–3) |
| Lung | 7 (6–9) | 5 (3–8) | 3 (1–5) | 1 (1–2) |
| Stomach | 7 (6–8) | 4.5 (2–7) | 2 (1–5) | 1 (1–1) |
| Esophagus | 7 (5–8) | 4 (3–7) | 2 (1–5) | 1 (1–1) |
| Gallbladder | 5 (4–6) | 3 (2–5) | 2 (1–3) | 1 (1–1) |
| Liver/intrahepatic bile duct | 4 (2–7) | 3 (2–7) | 1.5 (1–5) | 1 (1–1) |
| Pancreas | 4 (3–7) | 2.5 (1–5) | 1 (1–3) | 1 (1–1) |
Experts were asked to rate how likely they believed a cancer could be “cured” today in each stage, defined as the receipt of effective treatment such that a population of individuals who are “cured” would have the same life expectancy as a population that never had the cancer being considered. Curability was rated on a scale of 1 to 9: extremely unlikely = 1; somewhat unlikely = 3; neutral, neither likely nor unlikely = 5; somewhat likely = 7; extremely likely = 9.