Table 1.
Heath impacts, equity analysis, and health system costs for red and processed meat replacement scenarios.
| Non-Māori |
Māori |
Māori |
Ethnic groups combined |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QALYs | QALYs | equity analysis QALYs | QALYs | Health System Cost Savings (2011 NZ$ billion) | |
| Following Heart Foundation red and processed meat recommendations | |||||
| Per capitaa | 145 (145) | 233 (236) | 316 (321) | 159 | $2.5 |
| Sex and age groups combined | 542,00 (92,700–939,000) | 157,000 (6090–305,000) | 213,000 (11,100–398,000) | 699,000 (203,000–1,140,000) | $11.2 (0.7–20.6) |
| Men, all ages | 360,000 | 83,100 | 199,000 | 443,000 | $7.2 |
| Women, all ages | 181,000 | 74,100 | 120,000 | 255,000 | $4.0 |
| Following EAT-Lancet red and processed meat recommendations | |||||
| Per capitaa | 156 (158) | 356 (358) | 473 (478) | 187 | $3.2 |
| Sex and age groups combined | 584,000 (146,000–979,000) | 240,000 (104,000–363,000) | 319,000 (140,000–489,000) | 824,000 (351,000–1,270,000) | $14.2 (4.5–23.2) |
| Men, all ages | 376,000 | 149,000 | 199,000 | 525,000 | $9.2 |
| Women, all ages | 208,000 | 90,900 | 120,000 | 299,000 | $5.1 |
| Replacing red and processed meats with minimally processed plant-based alternatives | |||||
| Per capitaa | 250 (252) | 554 (560) | 738 (751) | 297 | $5.1 |
| Sex and age groups combined | 933,000 (582,000–1,290,000) | 373,000 (258,000–489,000) | 498,000 (347,000–652,000) | 1,310,000 (909,000–1,730,000) | $22.5 (14.0–31.3) |
| Men, all ages | 595,000 | 228,000 | 306,000 | 823,000 | $14.3 |
| Women, all ages | 338,000 | 146,000 | 192,000 | 484,000 | $8.2 |
| Replacing red and processed meats with ultra-processed plant-based alternatives | |||||
| Per capitaa | 190 (192) | 436 (440) | 586 (596) | 227 | $3.8 |
| Sex and age groups combined | 708,000 (299,000–1,100,000) | 294,000 (175,000–408,000) | 395,000 (237,000–550,000) | 1,000,000 (548,000–1,430,000) | $16.9 (7.8–25.9) |
| Men, all ages | 458,000 | 184,000 | 249,000 | 642,000 | $11.0 |
| Women, all ages | 249,000 | 109,000 | 146,000 | 359,000 | $5.9 |
a
Per capita results are QALYs per 1000 people and NZ $ per adult, all other cost results are in 2011 billion NZ $. Māori are indigenous to Aotearoa New Zealand and comprise 15% of the population. Results in brackets in the rows presenting data on sex and age groups combined are 95% Uncertainty Intervals. Results in brackets in rows presenting data per capita are age-standardised. Values are shown to three main figures.