Skip to main content
. 2022 Dec 22;36(4):1087–1100. doi: 10.1007/s40620-022-01529-0

Table 3.

Published studies using artificial intelligence for predicting the main kidney transplant-related complications

Predicted outcome References Data size Predictive factors Used algorithms Performance
Delayed graft function Jen et al. 2021 [57] Not mentioned Donor: age, height, weight, ethnicity, serum creatinine, BUN, hypertension, cardiac death, cause of death, and CIT ANN AUC: 0.7595
Konieczny et al. 2021 [58] 157 KTs

Donor: eGFR, BMI, age, gender, and kidney donor profile index

Recipient: BMI

Recipient–donor weight difference

RF

ANN

Accuracy: 84.38–93.75%

AUC: 0.84–0.91

Bae et al. 2020 [59] 133,431 KTs

Recipient: age, gender, race, time on dialysis, cause of ESRD, panel reactive antibody, BMI, previous transplant, CIT

Donor: age, gender, race, serum creatinine, cause of death

GB

RF

C-statistic:

C = 0.591 [0.581–0.601]

C = 0.579 [0.569–0.589]

Kawakita et al. 2020 [60] 61,220 KTs

Recipient: pretransplant dialysis, serum creatinine, BMI, days on waiting list, race, gender, diabetes and initial waitlist status

Donor: age, type, serum creatinine, BUN, BMI, hypertension, cause of death, medication

Transplant: biopsy, CIT, kidney pump

RF

LR

XGB

ANN

AUC: 0.70–0.735
Costa et al. (2020) [61] 443 KTs Donor maintenance-related variables: arterial blood gas pH, serum sodium, blood glucose, urine output, mean arterial pressure, vasopressor use, and reversed cardiac arrest DT, ANN SVM AUC: 0.784—0.886
Decruyenaere et al. 2015 [62] 55,044 KTs Not mentioned

RF

LR

SVM

XGB

ANN

AUC: 0.705–0.735
Li et al. 2010 [63] 1228 KTs

Recipient: age, gender, socio-economic level, primary diagnosis, functional status, medical condition, previous KT, hospitalization 90 days prior to KT, pre-transplant dialysis

Donor: type, BMI, transplant side

Procedure: surgeon, WIT, CIT, anastomotic time, incidental tumor

Post-transplant data: urine output, complications

Bayesian network AUC: 0.824–0.967
Brier et al. 2003 [64] 304 KTs

Donor: body surface area

CIT

Recipient: Age, race, height and weight

HLA matching (AB loci,

DR loci)

ANN AUC: 0.668
Shoskes et al. 1999 [65] 100 KTs Donor: age, cause of death, history of hypertension, inotrope use, urine output, and both initial and terminal serum creatinine ANN Not mentioned
Acute rejection Shaikhina et al. 2019 [51] 80 KTs

Recipient: age, gender, HLA Class I and II, years on dialysis, total IgG subclass [14] levels, highest IgG DSA level, and number of previous transplants

Cytometery cross-match, HLA mismatches, number of class II HLA-DR mismatches

Donor type

DT

RF

AUC (DT): 0.849

AUC (RF): 0.819

Tapak et al. 2017 [66] 378 KTs

Donor: age, gender, type, familial relationship, blood group, and BMI

Recipient: age, gender hemoglobin level, blood group, duration of dialysis before transplantation, CIT, creatinine level at discharge, left or right kidney, immunosuppressive drugs used, duration of hospitalization, urine output during the first 24 h, and occurrence of acute or hyperacute rejection

ANN

LR

AUC (ANN): 0.88

AUC (LR): 0.75

Esteban et al. 2016 [67] Not mentioned

Prescribed medication (Cyclosporin, Furosemide…)

Creatinine (high/normal/low)

Leukocytes (high/normal/low)

Recurrent Neural Networks AUC: 0.082
Hummel et al. 2010 [68] 145 KTs Consultation time after transplantation, tacrolimus dose, induction therapy, renal initial function, donor type, CMV in the recipient, diuresis, temperature increase, edema, tremor, urea dosage, serum creatinine, blood glucose, leukocyte count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, AT average, and histocompatibility ANN AUC: 0.7568
Petrovsky et al. 2002 [69] 1542 KTs

Donor: age, gender, graft side

Recipient: age, CMV and EBV status, other organ transplants, transfusions

Institutions: referring, hospital, state)

Transplant: total ischemia, kidney preservation

HLA matching (HLA-A, -B, -DR, and DQ)

ANN Accuracy: 71.7%
Abdolmaleki et al. 1997 [70] 35 KTs Urine output, blood urea nitogen, serum creatinine, perfusion index, renal peak to plateau ratio … ANN R:0.78
Long-term graft survival Badrouchi et al. 2021 [19] 407 KTs

Recipient: history of hypertension, history of transfusion, duration on dialysis before KT, acute kidney injury post-KT, acute rejection, CMV infection, length of the 1st hospitalization, 3-month eGFR, MMF therapy

Donor’s age

XGB

AUC: 0.897

Se: 91%

Sp: 87%

Loupy et al. 2019 [25] 4000 KTs Time of post-transplant risk evaluation, eGFR, proteinuria, histological parameters (interstitial fibrosis,tubular atrophy, glomerulitis, peritubular capillaritis, interstitial inflammation, tubulitis and transplant glomerulopathy) and DSA Cox regression with bootstrapping for validation

C index: 0.819

95% CI [0.799–0.839]

Nematollahi et al. 2017 [71] 717 KTs

Recipient: age, cause of ESRD, duration on dialysis before KT, serum creatinine at discharge, and hypertension after KT

Donor: age, blood group

SVM

Sn: 97.3%

Sp: 26.1%

Accuracy: 85.9%

AUC: 0.769

Shahmoradi et al. 2016 [72] 513 KTs Donor age, donor gender, recipient age, recipient gender, cause of ESRD, dialysis, duration on dialysis, panel test, BMI, donor type

ANN

DT

Bayesian network

Sn: 78.1–90.8%

Sp: 52.0–65%

Accuracy: 83.3- 87.2%

Lofaro et al. 2016 [73] 80 KTs Recipient age, number of transplants, 6-month eGFR, 6-month 24-h urine protein excretion, 6-month serum hemoglobin and 6-month hematocrit DT

Sn: 62.5%

Sp: 92.8%

AUC: 0. 847%

Greco et al. (2010) [74] 194 KTs Recipient BMI, DGF, acute rejection episode and chronic allograft nephropathy DT

Sn: 88.2%

Sp: 73.8%

Akl et al. 2008 [75] 1900 KTs

Recipient age, transfusions, Haplotype, time to diuresis, total steroid dose (first 3 months), immunosuppression, acute tubular necrosis, and acute rejection episodes (first 3 months)

Total HLA MM, HLA DR MM,

Donor: age, sibling/related/unrelated donor

ANN

Sn: 88.4%

Sp: 73.2%

Accuracy: 95%

AUC: 0.88

Lin et al. 2008 [55] 57,383 KTs

Recipient: age, gender, race, height, weight, cause of ESRD, history of hypertension, diabetes or CV disease, duration between date of current KT and failure date of the previous KT (if applicable), dialysis modality, predominant dialysis modality, and primary source of payment for treatment

Donor: type, age, gender, race, height, weight and cause of death

Number of matched HLA antigens, CIT and procedure type

ANN AUC: 0.73–0.82
Krikov et al. 2007 [76] 92,844 KTs

Recipient: race, gender, age, height, weight, prior KT, number of KTs, time on waiting list, predominant RRT modality, PD before KT, number of RRT modalities used before transplant, specific combination of RRT modalities, recipient comorbidity score, history of CV disease, history of unstable angina, history of diabetes, history of hypertension, VHB, VHC, peak and most recent level of panel reactive antibodies and primary source of payment for medical services

Donor: race, gender, age, height, weight, donor type (living or deceased)

DT AUC: 0.62–0.983

KT kidney transplantation, BUN blood urea nitrogen, CIT cold ischemia time, eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate, BMI body mass index, ESRD end-stage renal disease, WIT warm ischemia time, HLA human leukocyte antigen, MM mismatch, MMF mycophenolate mofetil, CV cardiovascular disease, PD peritoneal dialysis, RRT renal replacement therapy, VHC viral hepatitis C, VHB viral hepatitis B, AUC area under the curve, Se sensitivity, Sp specificity