Table 3.
Published studies using artificial intelligence for predicting the main kidney transplant-related complications
Predicted outcome | References | Data size | Predictive factors | Used algorithms | Performance |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delayed graft function | Jen et al. 2021 [57] | Not mentioned | Donor: age, height, weight, ethnicity, serum creatinine, BUN, hypertension, cardiac death, cause of death, and CIT | ANN | AUC: 0.7595 |
Konieczny et al. 2021 [58] | 157 KTs |
Donor: eGFR, BMI, age, gender, and kidney donor profile index Recipient: BMI Recipient–donor weight difference |
RF ANN |
Accuracy: 84.38–93.75% AUC: 0.84–0.91 |
|
Bae et al. 2020 [59] | 133,431 KTs |
Recipient: age, gender, race, time on dialysis, cause of ESRD, panel reactive antibody, BMI, previous transplant, CIT Donor: age, gender, race, serum creatinine, cause of death |
GB RF |
C-statistic: C = 0.591 [0.581–0.601] C = 0.579 [0.569–0.589] |
|
Kawakita et al. 2020 [60] | 61,220 KTs |
Recipient: pretransplant dialysis, serum creatinine, BMI, days on waiting list, race, gender, diabetes and initial waitlist status Donor: age, type, serum creatinine, BUN, BMI, hypertension, cause of death, medication Transplant: biopsy, CIT, kidney pump |
RF LR XGB ANN |
AUC: 0.70–0.735 | |
Costa et al. (2020) [61] | 443 KTs | Donor maintenance-related variables: arterial blood gas pH, serum sodium, blood glucose, urine output, mean arterial pressure, vasopressor use, and reversed cardiac arrest | DT, ANN SVM | AUC: 0.784—0.886 | |
Decruyenaere et al. 2015 [62] | 55,044 KTs | Not mentioned |
RF LR SVM XGB ANN |
AUC: 0.705–0.735 | |
Li et al. 2010 [63] | 1228 KTs |
Recipient: age, gender, socio-economic level, primary diagnosis, functional status, medical condition, previous KT, hospitalization 90 days prior to KT, pre-transplant dialysis Donor: type, BMI, transplant side Procedure: surgeon, WIT, CIT, anastomotic time, incidental tumor Post-transplant data: urine output, complications |
Bayesian network | AUC: 0.824–0.967 | |
Brier et al. 2003 [64] | 304 KTs |
Donor: body surface area CIT Recipient: Age, race, height and weight HLA matching (AB loci, DR loci) |
ANN | AUC: 0.668 | |
Shoskes et al. 1999 [65] | 100 KTs | Donor: age, cause of death, history of hypertension, inotrope use, urine output, and both initial and terminal serum creatinine | ANN | Not mentioned | |
Acute rejection | Shaikhina et al. 2019 [51] | 80 KTs |
Recipient: age, gender, HLA Class I and II, years on dialysis, total IgG subclass [1–4] levels, highest IgG DSA level, and number of previous transplants Cytometery cross-match, HLA mismatches, number of class II HLA-DR mismatches Donor type |
DT RF |
AUC (DT): 0.849 AUC (RF): 0.819 |
Tapak et al. 2017 [66] | 378 KTs |
Donor: age, gender, type, familial relationship, blood group, and BMI Recipient: age, gender hemoglobin level, blood group, duration of dialysis before transplantation, CIT, creatinine level at discharge, left or right kidney, immunosuppressive drugs used, duration of hospitalization, urine output during the first 24 h, and occurrence of acute or hyperacute rejection |
ANN LR |
AUC (ANN): 0.88 AUC (LR): 0.75 |
|
Esteban et al. 2016 [67] | Not mentioned |
Prescribed medication (Cyclosporin, Furosemide…) Creatinine (high/normal/low) Leukocytes (high/normal/low) |
Recurrent Neural Networks | AUC: 0.082 | |
Hummel et al. 2010 [68] | 145 KTs | Consultation time after transplantation, tacrolimus dose, induction therapy, renal initial function, donor type, CMV in the recipient, diuresis, temperature increase, edema, tremor, urea dosage, serum creatinine, blood glucose, leukocyte count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, AT average, and histocompatibility | ANN | AUC: 0.7568 | |
Petrovsky et al. 2002 [69] | 1542 KTs |
Donor: age, gender, graft side Recipient: age, CMV and EBV status, other organ transplants, transfusions Institutions: referring, hospital, state) Transplant: total ischemia, kidney preservation HLA matching (HLA-A, -B, -DR, and DQ) |
ANN | Accuracy: 71.7% | |
Abdolmaleki et al. 1997 [70] | 35 KTs | Urine output, blood urea nitogen, serum creatinine, perfusion index, renal peak to plateau ratio … | ANN | R:0.78 | |
Long-term graft survival | Badrouchi et al. 2021 [19] | 407 KTs |
Recipient: history of hypertension, history of transfusion, duration on dialysis before KT, acute kidney injury post-KT, acute rejection, CMV infection, length of the 1st hospitalization, 3-month eGFR, MMF therapy Donor’s age |
XGB |
AUC: 0.897 Se: 91% Sp: 87% |
Loupy et al. 2019 [25] | 4000 KTs | Time of post-transplant risk evaluation, eGFR, proteinuria, histological parameters (interstitial fibrosis,tubular atrophy, glomerulitis, peritubular capillaritis, interstitial inflammation, tubulitis and transplant glomerulopathy) and DSA | Cox regression with bootstrapping for validation |
C index: 0.819 95% CI [0.799–0.839] |
|
Nematollahi et al. 2017 [71] | 717 KTs |
Recipient: age, cause of ESRD, duration on dialysis before KT, serum creatinine at discharge, and hypertension after KT Donor: age, blood group |
SVM |
Sn: 97.3% Sp: 26.1% Accuracy: 85.9% AUC: 0.769 |
|
Shahmoradi et al. 2016 [72] | 513 KTs | Donor age, donor gender, recipient age, recipient gender, cause of ESRD, dialysis, duration on dialysis, panel test, BMI, donor type |
ANN DT Bayesian network |
Sn: 78.1–90.8% Sp: 52.0–65% Accuracy: 83.3- 87.2% |
|
Lofaro et al. 2016 [73] | 80 KTs | Recipient age, number of transplants, 6-month eGFR, 6-month 24-h urine protein excretion, 6-month serum hemoglobin and 6-month hematocrit | DT |
Sn: 62.5% Sp: 92.8% AUC: 0. 847% |
|
Greco et al. (2010) [74] | 194 KTs | Recipient BMI, DGF, acute rejection episode and chronic allograft nephropathy | DT |
Sn: 88.2% Sp: 73.8% |
|
Akl et al. 2008 [75] | 1900 KTs |
Recipient age, transfusions, Haplotype, time to diuresis, total steroid dose (first 3 months), immunosuppression, acute tubular necrosis, and acute rejection episodes (first 3 months) Total HLA MM, HLA DR MM, Donor: age, sibling/related/unrelated donor |
ANN |
Sn: 88.4% Sp: 73.2% Accuracy: 95% AUC: 0.88 |
|
Lin et al. 2008 [55] | 57,383 KTs |
Recipient: age, gender, race, height, weight, cause of ESRD, history of hypertension, diabetes or CV disease, duration between date of current KT and failure date of the previous KT (if applicable), dialysis modality, predominant dialysis modality, and primary source of payment for treatment Donor: type, age, gender, race, height, weight and cause of death Number of matched HLA antigens, CIT and procedure type |
ANN | AUC: 0.73–0.82 | |
Krikov et al. 2007 [76] | 92,844 KTs |
Recipient: race, gender, age, height, weight, prior KT, number of KTs, time on waiting list, predominant RRT modality, PD before KT, number of RRT modalities used before transplant, specific combination of RRT modalities, recipient comorbidity score, history of CV disease, history of unstable angina, history of diabetes, history of hypertension, VHB, VHC, peak and most recent level of panel reactive antibodies and primary source of payment for medical services Donor: race, gender, age, height, weight, donor type (living or deceased) |
DT | AUC: 0.62–0.983 |
KT kidney transplantation, BUN blood urea nitrogen, CIT cold ischemia time, eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate, BMI body mass index, ESRD end-stage renal disease, WIT warm ischemia time, HLA human leukocyte antigen, MM mismatch, MMF mycophenolate mofetil, CV cardiovascular disease, PD peritoneal dialysis, RRT renal replacement therapy, VHC viral hepatitis C, VHB viral hepatitis B, AUC area under the curve, Se sensitivity, Sp specificity