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. 2022 Dec 22;4(2):158–162. doi: 10.1016/j.jobb.2022.12.001

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

EpiSIX simulates the outbreak of monkeypox for the global region based on 182-day data from 2022.5.2 to 2022.10.24. The time unit is a week. If the effective reproduction number Reff is less than 1.0 (yellow line), then the outbreak is under control; otherwise, the outbreak is out of control. The blue block bars show the daily number of confirmed cases reported by the WHO and the gray curve presents its theoretical values. The blue curve shows the theoretical cumulative number of confirmed cases.