Table 3.
Other estimated parameters, and prediction of the possible epidemic scales within 200 days.
| Region | Theoretical number of initial cases | Theoretical number of vaccinated cases among all cases | Awareness delay (day) | Possible infected number with Scenario A (10 k) | Possible infected number with Scenario B (10 k) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 4 | 9,403 | 15 | 447 | 19 |
| Europe | 67 | 9,811 | 14 | 356 | 279 |
| Global | 77 | 25,362 | 14 | 613 | 891 |
Note: It is assumed that there is a delay during which healthcare professionals and epidemiologists become aware of a new outbreak, which is presented as an awareness delay in this table.9