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. 2022 Dec 22;4(2):158–162. doi: 10.1016/j.jobb.2022.12.001

Table 3.

Other estimated parameters, and prediction of the possible epidemic scales within 200 days.

Region Theoretical number of initial cases Theoretical number of vaccinated cases among all cases Awareness delay (day) Possible infected number with Scenario A (10 k) Possible infected number with Scenario B (10 k)
USA 4 9,403 15 447 19
Europe 67 9,811 14 356 279
Global 77 25,362 14 613 891

Note: It is assumed that there is a delay during which healthcare professionals and epidemiologists become aware of a new outbreak, which is presented as an awareness delay in this table.9