Table 3 .
Proportion of patients surviving emergency laparotomy by American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) grade, data from Kaplan–Meier curves.
| Time | Number at risk | Number of deaths | Survival proportion | Lower 95% CI | Upper 95% CI | Comparison with cholecystectomy with same ASA grade (Kaplan–Meier) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA 1 | ||||||
| 30 days | 85 | 1 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 1 | |
| 1 year | 67 | 4 | 0.94 | 0.89 | 0.99 | |
| 2 years | 44 | 3 | 0.90 | 0.83 | 0.97 | |
| 5 years | 33 | 1 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 0.96 | p<0.0001 |
| ASA 2 | ||||||
| 30 days | 274 | 7 | 0.98 | 0.96 | 0.99 | |
| 1 year | 195 | 16 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.95 | |
| 2 years | 124 | 13 | 0.84 | 0.79 | 0.89 | |
| 5 years | 101 | 12 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.82 | p<0.0001 |
| ASA 3 | ||||||
| 30 days | 297 | 26 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.95 | |
| 1 year | 184 | 51 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.80 | |
| 2 years | 114 | 22 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.71 | |
| 5 years | 79 | 22 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.58 | p<0.0001 |
| ASA 4 | ||||||
| 30 days | 133 | 56 | 0.70 | 0.64 | 0.77 | |
| 1 year | 76 | 37 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.57 | |
| 2 years | 57 | 8 | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.52 | |
| 5 years | 48 | 5 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.48 | p=0.03 |
| ASA 5 | ||||||
| 30 days | 7 | 9 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.76 | |
| 1 year | 5 | 1 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.71 | |
| 2 years | 3 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.58 | |
| 5 years | 2 | 1 | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.51 | p=0.063 |
This table refers to the survival of all patients following emergency laparotomy for whom an ASA grade was recorded (n=894). Note that, if 100% accurate, all of the patients who died after the 30-day Rubicon would have been quoted a 0% 30-day mortality risk by current scoring algorithms. For the ASA grades with the highest volume of deaths (3 and 4), the majority of the deaths take place after 30 postoperative days. Actual survivorship, at 5 years, of patients with an ASA grade of 3 or 4 is approximately 50%. Emergency laparotomy (n=894): ASA grade 1=86, ASA grade 2=281, ASA grade 3=323, ASA grade 4=188 and ASA grade 5=16. These patients were compared with patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy with the same ASA by Kaplan–Meier analysis to generate the p-values shown. Cholecystectomy patients (n=1,834): ASA grade 1=598, ASA grade 2=1,055, ASA grade 3=173, ASA grade 4=6 and ASA grade 5=2.