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. 2022 Mar;104(3):202–209. doi: 10.1308/rcsann.2021.0156

Table 3 .

Proportion of patients surviving emergency laparotomy by American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) grade, data from Kaplan–Meier curves.

Time Number at risk Number of deaths Survival proportion Lower 95% CI Upper 95% CI Comparison with cholecystectomy with same ASA grade (Kaplan–Meier)
ASA 1
 30 days 85 1 0.99 0.97 1
 1 year 67 4 0.94 0.89 0.99
 2 years 44 3 0.90 0.83 0.97
 5 years 33 1 0.87 0.79 0.96 p<0.0001
ASA 2
 30 days 274 7 0.98 0.96 0.99
 1 year 195 16 0.91 0.88 0.95
 2 years 124 13 0.84 0.79 0.89
 5 years 101 12 0.75 0.69 0.82 p<0.0001
ASA 3
 30 days 297 26 0.92 0.89 0.95
 1 year 184 51 0.75 0.70 0.80
 2 years 114 22 0.65 0.59 0.71
 5 years 79 22 0.51 0.44 0.58 p<0.0001
ASA 4
 30 days 133 56 0.70 0.64 0.77
 1 year 76 37 0.49 0.43 0.57
 2 years 57 8 0.44 0.37 0.52
 5 years 48 5 0.40 0.33 0.48 p=0.03
ASA 5
 30 days 7 9 0.44 0.25 0.76
 1 year 5 1 0.36 0.19 0.71
 2 years 3 2 0.22 0.08 0.58
 5 years 2 1 0.15 0.04 0.51 p=0.063

This table refers to the survival of all patients following emergency laparotomy for whom an ASA grade was recorded (n=894). Note that, if 100% accurate, all of the patients who died after the 30-day Rubicon would have been quoted a 0% 30-day mortality risk by current scoring algorithms. For the ASA grades with the highest volume of deaths (3 and 4), the majority of the deaths take place after 30 postoperative days. Actual survivorship, at 5 years, of patients with an ASA grade of 3 or 4 is approximately 50%. Emergency laparotomy (n=894): ASA grade 1=86, ASA grade 2=281, ASA grade 3=323, ASA grade 4=188 and ASA grade 5=16. These patients were compared with patients undergoing laparoscopic cholecystectomy with the same ASA by Kaplan–Meier analysis to generate the p-values shown. Cholecystectomy patients (n=1,834): ASA grade 1=598, ASA grade 2=1,055, ASA grade 3=173, ASA grade 4=6 and ASA grade 5=2.