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. 2022 Dec 14;11(12):1825. doi: 10.3390/biology11121825
Phenomenological model for the cumulative numbers of reported cases with λC
Assume that the eigenvalues are two conjugated complex numbers λ=eα±iωC, for some αR and ω0. The phenomenological model used to fit the cumulative numbers of reported cases has the following form
CR(t)=eα(tt0)Acosωtt0+Bsinωtt0+C,fort[t0,+), (18)
where αR, AR, BR, CR, and ω0 are four real numbers.
For discrete times, it is equivalent to say that
CR(n)=AiB2λn+A+iB2λ¯n+C,forn=0,1,2,. (19)

By computing the first derivative of tCR(t), we obtain a model for the daily number of cases of the following form
N(t)=eα(tt0)A^cosωtt0+B^sinωtt0,fort[t0,+), (20)
where
A^=αA+ωBB^=ωA+αBA=αA^ωB^ω2+α2B=ωA^+αB^ω2+α2. (21)