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. 2022 Dec 14;11(12):1825. doi: 10.3390/biology11121825
Phenomenological model for the cumulative numbers of reported cases with λ∈C
Assume that the eigenvalues are two conjugated complex numbers λ=eα±iω∈C, for some α∈R and ω≥0. The phenomenological model used to fit the cumulative numbers of reported cases has the following form
CR(t)=eα(t−t0)Acosωt−t0+Bsinωt−t0+C,fort∈[t0,+∞), (18)
where α∈R, A∈R, B∈R, C∈R, and ω≥0 are four real numbers.
For discrete times, it is equivalent to say that
CR(n)=A−iB2λn+A+iB2λ¯n+C,forn=0,1,2,…. (19)

By computing the first derivative of t↦CR(t), we obtain a model for the daily number of cases of the following form
N(t)=eα(t−t0)A^cosωt−t0+B^sinωt−t0,fort∈[t0,+∞), (20)
where
A^=αA+ωBB^=−ωA+αB⇔A=αA^−ωB^ω2+α2B=ωA^+αB^ω2+α2. (21)