Table 2.
Predictive distributions of total population for the world and the major continental regions in 2100, 2200 and 2300, in thousands. The predictive median, 80% intervals, 90% intervals (‘‘likely range’’) and 95% intervals are shown.
| Name | Year | Median | low80 | high80 | low90 | high90 | low95 | high95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World | 2020 | 7,793,665 | ||||||
| World | 2100 | 11,087,401 | 10,038,154 | 12,163,649 | 9,757,003 | 12,548,652 | 9,549,781 | 12,818,071 |
| World | 2200 | 10,381,900 | 7,305,100 | 14,956,607 | 6,643,463 | 16,545,674 | 6,156,100 | 17,863,299 |
| World | 2300 | 7,479,886 | 3,554,617 | 16,223,973 | 2,793,983 | 20,510,688 | 2,293,425 | 25,801,229 |
|
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| Africa | 2020 | 1,340,592 | ||||||
| Africa | 2100 | 4,290,987 | 3,686,547 | 4,972,991 | 3,542,387 | 5,211,465 | 3,435,249 | 5,401,694 |
| Africa | 2200 | 5,323,541 | 3,278,622 | 9,210,068 | 2,924,092 | 10,585,450 | 2,747,030 | 11,514,647 |
| Africa | 2300 | 3,982,297 | 1,671,097 | 10,586,376 | 1,250,330 | 13,696,038 | 995,185 | 17,667,505 |
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| Latin America | 2020 | 653,561 | ||||||
| Latin America | 2100 | 686,138 | 596,425 | 795,440 | 571,759 | 830,258 | 552,256 | 862,167 |
| Latin America | 2200 | 432,221 | 302,055 | 629,780 | 276,232 | 709,607 | 252,908 | 780,968 |
| Latin America | 2300 | 256,177 | 123,485 | 579,450 | 102,446 | 734,926 | 83,261 | 936,212 |
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| Northern America | 2020 | 368,745 | ||||||
| Northern America | 2100 | 432,649 | 342,876 | 517,695 | 319,832 | 541,262 | 291,137 | 570,309 |
| Northern America | 2200 | 389,732 | 224,336 | 640,079 | 183,844 | 764,334 | 153,865 | 888,621 |
| Northern America | 2300 | 300,657 | 112,286 | 792,596 | 80,708 | 1,066,054 | 66,708 | 1,341,687 |
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| Europe | 2020 | 747,279 | ||||||
| Europe | 2100 | 614,387 | 554,549 | 682,457 | 537,381 | 705,422 | 523,280 | 728,253 |
| Europe | 2200 | 467,211 | 353,597 | 646,902 | 323,876 | 711,139 | 306,563 | 769,195 |
| Europe | 2300 | 323,045 | 165,330 | 650,339 | 136,827 | 817,130 | 112,740 | 1,023,016 |
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| Oceania | 2020 | 42,433 | ||||||
| Oceania | 2100 | 63,786 | 48,794 | 81,787 | 45,638 | 88,995 | 41,729 | 95,792 |
| Oceania | 2200 | 57,509 | 32,762 | 104,733 | 28,100 | 122,283 | 24,636 | 147,899 |
| Oceania | 2300 | 40,186 | 16,791 | 113,117 | 14,416 | 160,667 | 12,905 | 207,300 |
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| Asia | 2020 | 4,641,055 | ||||||
| Asia | 2100 | 4,938,621 | 4,354,567 | 5,633,480 | 4,207,749 | 5,857,253 | 4,076,522 | 6,070,905 |
| Asia | 2200 | 3,420,825 | 2,363,271 | 4,793,465 | 2,182,077 | 5,464,810 | 1,989,421 | 5,890,026 |
| Asia | 2300 | 2,142,945 | 998,585 | 4,456,487 | 792,596 | 5,804,237 | 627,913 | 6,972,282 |