Table 2.
2100 | 2100 | 2300 | 2300 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
+2°C | +5°C | +2°C | +8°C–10°C | ||
Glaciers | 0.15 a | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.32 | |
Greenland | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 2.5 | |
Antarctica | 0.39 | 0.59 | 1.35 | 6 | |
Thermal expansion | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 1.51 | |
LWSC | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.10 | |
Total high‐end estimate b | Upper end of the range | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 10 |
Lower end of the range | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 9 |
Values are presented relative to 1995–2014 in meters. To compare to a baseline of 1986–2005 as used in AR5 and SROCC add 0.03 m for total sea level and 0.01 m for individual components.
The high‐end of the range follows from the assumption of perfect correlation (all covariances between the components equal to one), the low‐end of the range follows from the assumption of fully uncorrelated (all covariances between the components equal to zero).