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. 2022 Dec 22;12(1):2146537. doi: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2146537

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© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Figure 6. — (A) Likelihood of observing 1 variant out of 3 sequenced samples (blue) and 10 out of 50 sequenced samples (orange) shown by the median value (bold line) and the 90% credibility interval (shaded area). The probabilities are estimated for varying rate of variants’ emergence (x-axis, log scaled). The green graph represents the joint distribution i.e. the probability to observe both sample outcomes with constant variants’ emergence rate. (B) Distributional details of the green graph i.e the joint probability.