Table 2. Estimated Effects From Bayesian Ordinal Regression Models for Funding Disbursed in the Concurrent Year (a₀), for Funding Disbursed 1 Year Prior (a₁), and for Funding Disbursed 2 Years Prior (a₂) Across All Health Security Capacities .

Capacity	Concurrent Year (a 0 )		1-Year Lag (a 1 )		2-Year Lag (a 2 )
	Estimate (95% CI)	p 0	Estimate (95% CI)	p 0	Estimate (95% CI)	p 0
Legislation	-0.011 (-0.031, 0.002)	0.061	0.029 (0.009, 0.056)	0.999	0.019 (-0.016, 0.063)	0.850
Coordination	-0.004 (-4.698, 4.371)	0.498	-0.004 (-4.244, 4.543)	0.499	-0.098 (-5.929, 3.568)	0.470
AMR	0.395 (-0.199, 1.039)	0.902	-0.128 (-0.964, 0.621)	0.373	-0.101 (-0.942, 0.726)	0.402
Food safety	-0.363 (-2.160, 0.961)	0.275	-0.074 (-1.565, 1.671)	0.453	0.512 (-0.444, 1.947)	0.838
Biosafety	-0.036 (-0.601, 0.523)	0.447	0.271 (-1.143, 1.925)	0.659	0.082 (-1.698, 1.734)	0.545
Zoonosis	0.019 (0.001, 0.045)	0.976	-0.011 (-0.041, 0.014)	0.209	-0.0262 (-0.063, 0.005)	0.056
Laboratory	-0.169 (-0.490, 0.140)	0.149	0.618 (0.055, 1.219)	0.983	-0.409 (-0.763, -0.077)	0.009
Surveillance	0.020 (-0.021, 0.063)	0.838	-0.179 (-0.474, 0.032)	0.056	0.008 (-0.417, 0.439)	0.515
Workforce	0.008 (-0.005, 0.021)	0.880	0.019 (0.000, 0.038)	0.976	-0.026 (-0.062, 0.009)	0.069
Preparedness	0.012 (-0.005, 0.036)	0.899	0.005 (-0.020, 0.029)	0.663	-0.018 (-0.042, 0.002)	0.043
Emergency response	-0.395 (-1.556, 0.148)	0.119	-0.127 (-1.655, 1.338)	0.429	-0.693 (-2.940, -0.012)	0.021
Risk communication	-0.079 (-0.220, 0.051)	0.117	0.197 (-0.003, 0.417)	0.973	-0.077 (-0.187, 0.028)	0.075
Overall	0.000 (-0.013, 0.013)	0.526	0.005 (-0.015, 0.025)	0.681	-0.003 (-0.013, 0.007)	0.258

Abbreviation: AMR, antimicrobial resistance.

Estimates represent the median of the posterior samples for the corresponding coefficients and the posterior probability is the probability the distribution of the posterior samples is above 0.