Fig. 1.

Relative differences in Brier score (${\mathrm{\Delta }}_{R}BS$; upper panel) and absolute difference in AUC (${\mathrm{\Delta }}_{A}BS$; lower panel) comparing GLA(eGFR), GLA(Age) and LA to SPM over (from left to right) a random sample of all follow-up observations, observations in CKD stages 1 and 2, observations in CKD stage 3, and observations in CKD stage 4 and 5 in CRIC study. The error bars represent 95% bootstrap percentile confidence intervals. The actual BS $\times 100$ and AUC $\times 100$ for the benchmark SPM are annotated on the top axis