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. 2022 Nov 21;194(45):E1529–E1536. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.220676

Table 2:

Expected and observed rates of myocarditis with observed-to-expected ratios within a 7-day risk window after SARS-CoV-2 vaccination

Variable Observed* Expected OE ratio (95% CI)


No. of cases No. of vaccine doses Rate per 100 000 (95% CI) No. of cases Population Rate per 100 000 (95% CI)
Overall 99 10 255 385 0.97 (0.78–1.17) 6.7 5 090 955 0.13 (0.06–0.28) 14.81 (10.83–16.55)

Sex

 Male 80 4 891 011 1.64 (1.30–2.04) 2.4 2 571 779 0.09 (0.02–0.34) 33.74 (26.76–42.00)

 Female 19 5 364 374 0.35 (0.21–0.55) 4.4 2 519 176 0.18 (0.06–0.46) 4.31 (2.59–6.73)

Age, yr

 12–17 17 644 705 2.64 (1.54–4.22) 0.2 300 573 0.08 (0.01–1.85) 68.88 (40.12–110.28)

 18–29 47 1 784 950 2.63 (1.94–3.50) 1.8 822 028 0.22 (0.03–0.88) 26.25 (19.29–34.90)

 30–39 14 1 624 133 0.86 (0.47–1.45) 1.5 721 055 0.21 (0.03–1.00) 9.26 (5.06–15.54)

 40–49 4 1 340 746 0.30 (0.08–0.76) 0.9 647 731 0.13 (0.00–0.86) 4.58 (1.25–11.73)

 50–59 5 1 420 691 0.35 (0.11–0.82) 0.8 725 412 0.10 (0.00–0.77) 6.66 (2.16–15.53)

 60–69 6 1 552 275 0.39 (0.14–0.84) 0.8 660 685 0.12 (0.00–0.84) 7.83 (2.87–17.05)

 70–79 3 1 228 162 0.24 (0.05–0.71) 1.1 413 888 0.26 (0.06–1.75) 2.77 (0.57–8.11)

 ≥ 80 3 659 723 0.45 (0.09–1.33) 0.3 229 260 0.14 (0.01–2.43) 9.06 (1.87–26.48)

Vaccine

 Pfizer 52 6 989 921 0.74 (0.56–0.98) 4.6 5 090 955 0.09 (0.03–0.23) 11.42 (8.53–14.97)

 Moderna 47 3 265 464 1.44 (1.06–1.91) 2.1 5 090 955 0.04 (0.00–0.14) 22.09 (16.23–29.37)

Dose

 Dose 1 7 3 994 380 0.18 (0.07–0.36) 2.6 5 090 955 0.05 (0.01–0.17) 2.69 (1.08–5.54)

 Dose 2 74 3 884 987 1.90 (1.50–2.39) 2.5 5 090 955 0.05 (0.01–0.17) 29.23 (22.95–36.69)

 Dose 3 18 2 376 018 0.76 (0.45–1.20) 1.5 5 090 955 0.03 (0.00–0.14) 11.62 (6.89–18.37)

Note: CI = confidence interval, Moderna = mRNA-1273 (Moderna), OE = observed-to-expected, Pfizer = BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech).

*

Myocarditis cases recorded within 7 days postvaccination between Dec. 15, 2020, and Mar. 31, 2022.

The background rates from 2019 were used to calculate the expected numbers.