Figure 2. Model performance on the musical stimuli used in the MEG study.

(A) Comparison of music model performance in predicting upcoming note pitch, as composition-level accuracy (left; higher is better), median surprise across notes (middle; lower is better), and median uncertainty across notes (right). Context length for each model is the best performing one across the range shown in (B). Vertical bars: single compositions, circle: median, thick line: quartiles, thin line: quartiles ±1.5 × interquartile range. (B) Accuracy of note pitch predictions (median across 19 compositions) as a function of context length and model class (same color code as (A)). Dots represent maximum for each model class. (C) Correlations between the surprise estimates from the best models. (For similar results for the musical stimuli used in the EEG study, see Appendix 1—figure 2).