Table 6.
Sensitivity analysis of the effective reproduction number for Eastern and Madinah.
| Analysis | Region | 13th Mar–17th Apr | 18th Apr–22nd May | 23rd May–27th Jun | 28th Jun–3rd Aug | 4th Aug–25th Sep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main | Eastern | 6.84 (6.78–6.89) | 6.7 (6.64–6.74) | 3.34 (2.91–3.60) | 0.14 (0.12–0.16) | 0.15 (0.02–0.31) |
| S1 | Eastern | 7.06 (7.02–7.09) | 6.99 (6.94–7.02) | 2.56 (2.33–2.83) | 0 (0–0) | 0.11 (0.01–0.34) |
| S2 | Eastern | 6.4 (6.34–6.46) | 6.24 (6.19–6.3) | 3.32 (3.1–3.57) | 0.14 (0.12–0.15) | 0.15 (0.02–0.29) |
| S3 | Eastern | 7.24 (7.19–7.28) | 7.11 (7.06–7.15) | 3.39 (3.13–3.65) | 0.14 (0.12–0.16) | 0.14 (0.02–0.29) |
| S4 | Eastern | 6.43 (6.39–6.47) | 6.34 (6.3–6.37) | 3.4 (3.17–3.67) | 0.14 (0.13–0.16) | 0.14 (0.03–0.28) |
| S5 | Eastern | 7.08 (7.02–7.13) | 6.91 (6.86–6.96) | 3.33 (3.1–3.56) | 0.14 (0.12–0.15) | 0.15 (0.03–0.3) |
| S6 | Eastern | 6.93 (6.88–6.97) | 6.82 (6.77–6.86) | 3.48 (3.22–3.74) | 0.06 (0.05–0.08) | 0.19 (0.04–0.36) |
| S7 | Eastern | 6.23 (6.18–6.26) | 6.16 (6.12–6.2) | 3.36 (2.99–3.67) | 0.15 (0.13–0.18) | 0.16 (0.02–0.45) |
| S8 | Eastern | 6.97 (6.92–7.02) | 6.82 (6.77–6.87) | 3.39 (3.16–3.64) | 0.14 (0.12–0.15) | 0.14 (0.02–0.28) |
| Main | Madinah | 5.14 (4.73–5.51) | 5.1 (4.7–5.47) | 1.71 (1.14–2.29) | 0.18 (0.02–0.4) | 0.61 (0.36–0.86) |
| S1 | Madinah | 5.15 (4.75–5.51) | 5.11 (4.71–5.47) | 1.71 (1.16–2.32) | 0.19 (0.02–0.41) | 0.6 (0.37–0.85) |
| S2 | Madinah | 4.28 (3.99–4.57) | 4.23 (3.94–4.52) | 2.22 (1.84–2.63) | 0.34 (0.20–0.50) | 0.61 (0.47–0.76) |
| S3 | Madinah | 4.17 (3.9–4.47) | 4.14 (3.86–4.43) | 2.23 (1.82–2.66) | 0.34 (0.19–0.5) | 0.61 (0.46–0.76) |
| S4 | Madinah | 4.25 (3.96–4.54) | 4.22 (3.93–4.5) | 2.34 (1.91–2.78) | 0.36 (0.2–0.53) | 0.66 (0.51–0.82) |
| S5 | Madinah | 4.43 (4.12–4.72) | 4.35 (4.04–4.64) | 2.11 (1.73–2.52) | 0.32 (0.18–0.47) | 0.58 (0.45–0.72) |
| S6 | Madinah | 4.17 (3.93–4.42) | 4.08 (3.84–4.33) | 2.52 (2.22–2.85) | 0.48 (0.36–0.6) | 0.58 (0.47–0.69) |
| S7 | Madinah | 4.23 (3.95–4.54) | 4.18 (3.91–4.49) | 2.23 (1.81–2.67) | 0.34 (0.19–0.5) | 0.61 (0.47–0.76) |
| S8 | Madinah | 4.58 (3.12–5.04) | 4.54 (3.08–5) | 2.18 (1.56–3.7) | 0.16 (0.01–0.37) | 0.51 (0.1–0.8) |