Table 7.

Sensitivity analysis of estimated effective reproduction number $R_t$ for Makkah and Riyadh.

Analysis	Region	13th Mar–17th Apr	18th Apr–22nd May	23rd May–27th Jun	28th Jun–3rd Aug	4th Aug–25th Sep
Main	Makkah	4.49 (4.33–4.66)	4.44 (4.28–4.61)	0.91 (0.79–1.02)	0.15 (0.09–0.21)	0.09 (0.02–0.15)
S1	Makkah	5.53 (5.34–5.63)	5.49 (5.3–5.59)	0.27 (0.11–0.7)	0.04 (0–0.23)	0.01 (0–0.05)
S2	Makkah	4.48 (4.3–4.65)	4.43 (4.26–4.6)	0.91 (0.79–1.02)	0.15 (0.09–0.21)	0.09 (0.03–0.15)
S3	Makkah	4.39 (4.23–4.55)	4.35 (4.2–4.52)	0.91 (0.8–1.03)	0.15 (0.09–0.21)	0.09 (0.02–0.16)
S4	Makkah	4.48 (4.32–4.65)	4.45 (4.29–4.62)	0.96 (0.83–1.09)	0.16 (0.09–0.22)	0.09 (0.02–0.16)
S5	Makkah	4.59 (4.42–4.75)	4.5 (4.33–4.66)	0.86 (0.76–0.98)	0.14 (0.08–0.2)	0.09 (0.03–0.15)
S6	Makkah	4.27 (4.24–4.29)	4.2 (4.16–4.22)	1.39 (1.3–1.48)	0.23 (0.18–0.28)	0.17 (0.13–0.22)
S7	Makkah	4.45 (4.28–4.62)	4.4 (4.24–4.57)	0.91 (0.8–1.03)	0.15 (0.09–0.21)	0.09 (0.02–0.16)
S8	Makkah	4.56 (4.39–4.73)	4.51 (4.34–4.68)	0.91 (0.8–1.03)	0.15 (0.09–0.21)	0.08 (0.02–0.15)
Main	Riyadh	6.10 (5.88–6.20)	6.10 (5.82–6.14)	5.88 (5.78–5.93)	0.57 (0.16–1.06)	0.33 (0.25–0.43)
S1	Riyadh	6.83 (6.79–6.85)	6.79 (6.75–6.81)	6.56 (6.25–6.65)	0.04 (0–0.17)	0.2 (0.11–0.29)
S2	Riyadh	5.57 (5.52–5.59)	5.49 (5.44–5.51)	5.14 (5.08–5.17)	0.22 (0.15–0.3)	0.29 (0.23–0.35)
S3	Riyadh	6.19 (5.96–6.43)	6.14 (5.91–6.38)	6.47 (6.28–6.56)	0.23 (0.14–0.32)	0.33 (0.26–0.39)
S4	Riyadh	6.29 (6.09–6.49)	6.19 (5.98–6.39)	5.97 (5.81–6.06)	0.2 (0.13–0.28)	0.29 (0.23–0.34)
S5	Riyadh	6.16 (5.98–6.29)	6.09 (5.91–6.22)	5.89 (5.77–5.95)	0.22 (0.14–0.3)	0.3 (0.25–0.36)
S6	Riyadh	5.04 (4.94–5.09)	4.95 (4.85–5)	4.67 (4.62–4.69)	0.59 (0.52–0.66)	0.34 (0.29–0.39)
S7	Riyadh	5.81 (5.74–5.85)	5.74 (5.67–5.78)	5.45 (5.37–5.48)	0.23 (0.15–0.31)	0.3 (0.24–0.35)
S8	Riyadh	5.89 (5.79–5.94)	5.86 (5.76–5.92)	5.78 (5.72–5.81)	0.3 (0.21–0.41)	0.38 (0.31–0.46)