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. 2023 Jan 18;9(3):eabq0199. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abq0199

Fig. 5. Defining outbreak onsets.

Fig. 5.

The value of P(Rt > 1) (green line) is calculated for the weekly volume of COVID-19–confirmed cases (gray) in Marion county (FL). A successive increase of COVID-19–confirmed case activity is labeled as an outbreak if P(Rt > 1) > 0.95 for 2 weeks or more. Marked events are enclosed within a rectangle.