Table 9.

Predicted log₁₀ change of L. monocytogenes during dry‐ageing of beef. Log₁₀ increase is shown for two different inactivation models under the assumption of inactivation occurring all times or only under no‐growth conditions

Scenario	Model	L. monocytogenes log10 change
		Mean	Median	5th percentile	75th percentile	95th percentile	Maximum
No inactivation	–	1.02	0.84	0	1.49	2.68	7.68
Inactivation, all times	Van Damme	−0.26	−0.37	−1.55	0.27	1.36	4.95
Inactivation, when no growth is predicted	Van Damme	0.61	0.56	−1.27	1.35	2.66	7.68
Inactivation, all times	Coroller	0.89	0.72	−0.13	1.36	2.52	7.39
Inactivation, when no growth is predicted	Coroller	0.97	0.81	−0.12	1.47	2.68	7.68