TABLE 1.
Summary of strategies for emulating target trial.
| Components | Target trial (EAST-AFNET4) | This study |
| Inclusion period | 28 July 2011 – 30 December 2016 | 1 January 2005 – 31 December 2015 |
| Eligibility criteria | 1) Adults (≥18 years of age) who were older than 75 years of age, had had a previous transient ischemic attack or stroke, or met two of the following criteria: age greater than 65 years, female sex, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, severe coronary artery disease, chronic kidney disease, and left ventricular hypertrophy 2) Early AF (diagnosed ≤12 months before enrollment) |
1) Selected older adults (≥65 years of age) that received a rhythm-control or rate-control treatments and have no prior history of prescriptions and no records of ablation in the database who were older than 75 years of age, had a previous transient ischemic attack or stroke, or met two of the following criteria: age greater than 65 years, female sex, heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, myocardial infarction, and chronic kidney disease 2) Early AF (defined as AF diagnosed ≤12 months before enrollment) 3) Undergoing oral anticoagulation (>90 days of supply within 180 days after their first recorded prescription of rhythm- or rate-control medications or ablation procedure) |
| Exposed group | Rhythm control: antiarrhythmic drugs, AF ablation, cardioversion of persistent AF, to be initiated early after randomization | Rhythm control: a prescription of more than a 90-day supply of any antiarrhythmic drugs in the 180-day period since the first prescription or the performance of an ablation procedure for AF. |
| Unexposed group | Usual care: initially treated with rate-control therapy without rhythm-control therapy | Rate control: a prescription of more than a 90-day supply of any rate-control drugs in the 180-day period since the first prescription and with no prescription of rhythm-control drug and no ablation within this period. Patients prescribed rhythm-control drugs for more than 90 days or who underwent ablation within the 180-day period since the initiation of rate-control drugs were classified as intention-to-treat with rhythm control. |
| Primary outcome | 1) A composite of death from cardiovascular causes, stroke, or hospitalization with worsening of heart failure or acute coronary syndrome 2) The number of nights spent in the hospital per year. |
1) A composite of death from cardiovascular causes, ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, or acute myocardial infarction 2) The number of nights spent in the hospital per year. |
| Secondary outcome | Each component of the primary outcome, rhythm, left ventricular function, quality of life, AF-related symptom | Each component of the primary outcome |
| Safety outcome | A composite of death from any cause, stroke, or pre-specified serious adverse events of special interest capturing complications of rhythm-control therapy | A composite of death from any cause, intracranial or gastrointestinal bleeding requiring hospitalization, or pre-specified serious adverse events of special interest capturing complications of rhythm control |
| Follow-up | From randomization until the end of the trial, death, or withdrawal from the trial. | From 180 days after their first recorded prescription or procedure to avoid immortal time bias until the end of follow-up of the database (31 December 2016) or death. |