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. 2023 Jan 20;21(1):e07704. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2023.7704
Cohort name Original Cohort (N total) Ascertainment of outcome Exposure groups(a) Incident cases Model covariates Results
Country Exclusion criteria n/person‐years
Reference Study population (n, sex and age at baseline(a))
Follow‐up
Funding

BEST

Bangladesh

Bulka et al. (2019)

6 yr

Prospective Cohort

Public

N = 255

Population sampled: general population in an arsenic‐endemic area, randomly selected from placebo arm of BEST trial; adults having manifested arsenical skin lesions.

Exclusion: pregnant women, unwillingness to discontinue vitamin use, prior history of cancer, too ill to participate, unwilling to give blood and urine samples; hypertensive at baseline.

n = 178

Sex (% F): 54.9

Ethnicity: NR

Age (yr): 24–64

SBP and DBP (2 seated measurements using an automated sphygmomanometer) measured in visits at 2, 4‐ and 6‐yr follow‐up. HTN defined as SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, antihypertensive medication use, or self‐reported physician diagnosed HTN.

Blood Se (μg/L, median (IQR)):

121 (110.0–135.0)

Cut‐offs for quartiles NR

Incident HTN cases: 46

N per quartile NR

Model 1 (M1): age and sex

Model 2 (M2): M1 + baseline blood lead, manganese, and selenium

Model 3 (M3): M2 + site, smoking status, educational duration, creatinine‐corrected urinary arsenic concentration

Model 4 (M4): M3 + time‐varying BMI, time‐varying diabetes status

HR (95% CI) for incidence of HTN

Q1(ref): 1

Q2: 1.31 (0.52, 3.29)

Q3: 1.68 (0.70, 4.02)

Q4: 1.33 (0.53, 3.36)

p trend 0.432

Model 2

Q1(ref): 1

Q2: 1.17 (0.46, 3.01)

Q3: 1.35 (0.55, 3.23)

Q4: 1.11 (0.42, 2.91)

p trend 0.593

Model 3

Q1(ref): 1

Q2: 0.94 (0.35, 2.54)

Q3: 1.10 (0.41, 3.00)

Q4: 0.90 (0.30, 2.68)

p trend 0.882

Model 4

Q1(ref): 1

Q2: 0.72 (0.25, 2.08)

Q3: 0.91 (0.32, 2.55)

Q4: 0.73 (0.23, 2.30)

p trend 0.641

FLEMENGHO

Belgium

Nawrot et al. (2007)

8.4 yr

prospective cohort

Public

N = 1,107

Population sampled: general population

Exclusion: participants who died, became severely ill or moved; creatinine excretion was outside published limits; missing values; high BP or hypertension at baseline.

n = 385

sex (% F): 51.8

Ethnicity: NR

Age (yr) = 48.8 (> 20)

Blood pressure measured (5 seated measurements) by trained nurses, twice at baseline (1–3 wk apart) and once at follow‐up visit. High BP was defined as HTN (≥ 140/≥ 90 mmHg), high‐normal BP (130–139/85–89 mmHg), or self‐reported start of antihypertensive drug. Blood Se (μg/L): 97.0 ± 19.0 Incident cases of high BP: 139; 36 cases per 1,000 person‐years Age, BMI, smoking, the 24 h urinary excretion of sodium and potassium + for F: menopausal status and the use of contraceptive pills at baseline.

HR (95% CI) for incidence of high BP, by 20 μg/L blood Se at baseline

F: 1.08 (0.90, 1.27) p = 0.41

M: 0.63 (0.48, 0.83) p = 0.0013

The Selenium and Cognitive Decline study

China

Su et al. (2016)

7 yr prospective cohort

Public

N = 2000

Population sampled: general population > 65 yr

Exclusion: severe hearing loss (cognitive assessment not possible).

n = 635

sex (% F): 53.7

age (yr): 71.9 ± 5.6

Blood pressure measures and self‐reported HTN history collected at baseline, 2.5 and 7 yr follow‐up.

HTN was defined as ≥ 140/≥ 90 mmHg.

Nail Se (μg/g): 0.413 ± 0.183

n, per quintile:

Q1 ≤ 0.233: 402

Q2 0.234–0.362: 405

Q3 0.363–0.442: 395

Q4 0.443–0.552: 397

Q5 > 0.552: 401

Incident HTN cases

n, per quintile:

Q1: 192

Q2: 132

Q3: 120

Q4: 105

Q5: 86

Age, gender, BMI, education, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity.

HR (95% CI) for incidence of HTN

Q1(ref): 1

Q2: 1.41 (1.03, 1.94) p = 0.0331

Q3: 1.93 (1.40, 2.67) p < 0.0001

Q4: 2.35 (1.69, 3.26) p < 0.0001

Q5: 1.94 (1.36, 22.77) p = 0.0002

PURE

South Africa

Swart et al. (2019)

10 yr

prospective cohort

Private

N = 987

Population sampled: general population

Exclusion: missing baseline or follow‐up cardiovascular data or baseline Se data.

n = 690

sex (% F): 64.6

Ethnicity: black South Africans

Age (yr): 50.7 ± 10.2 (35–70)

Blood pressure (seated measurements; twice, 5‐min apart)

measured with a validated device

at baseline and follow‐up.

Plasma Se (μg/100 mL)

Group with “normal Se status” at baseline (n = 845): 12.7 ± 3.41

Group with “deficient Se status” at baseline (n = 142): 6.12 ± 1.67

NA Age, sex, BMI, physical activity index, tobacco use, Ɣ‐glutamyl transferase, glucose, C‐reactive protein, LDL

SBP level, β coefficients (95% CI), per 10 μg/L Se increase

All: −0.03 (−0.10, 0.04) p = 0.418

Group with “normal Se status”: −0.03 (−0.11, 0.05) p = 0.439

Group with “deficient Se status”: 0.01 (−0.20, 0.22) p = 0.929

DBP NR

PROGRESS

Mexico

Kupsco et al. (2019)

6 yr prospective cohort

Public

N = 948

Population sampled: mother–child pairs

Exclusion: Women exposed to environmental tobacco smoke (at home) or smoking during pregnancy; missing values

n = 548

sex (% F): 49.6

Ethnicity: NR

Maternal age (yr) = 28 ± 5.6

Children blood pressure measures at 4–6 yr of age (4.8 ± 0.55 yr) during a clinical examination (seated measurements; twice, 3 min apart) Maternal blood Se (2nd trimester) (μg/dL): 25 ± 4.5 NA

Single‐metal model (SMM): Maternal age, pre‐pregnancy BMI, education, socioeconomic status, parity (primiparous or multiparous), and environmental tobacco smoke (present or absent in home)

Multi‐metal model (SMM): as above + As, Cd, Co, Cr, Cs, Cu, Mn, Pb, Sb, and Zn

BP levels, β‐coefficients (95% CI), per 1 μg/L Se increase

SBP

SMM: −0.19 (−0.51, 0.13) p = 0.25; MMM: −0.07 (−0.52, 0.39) p = 0.77

DBP

SMM: β = −0.12 (−0.39, 0.14) p = 0.36; MMM: −0.14 (−0.51, 0.23) p = 0.46

RHEA

Greece

Howe et al. (2021)

11 yr prospective cohort

Public

N = 1,363

Population sampled: mother–child pairs from Heraklion, Greece; aged ≥ 16 yr

Exclusion: outliers for metal measurements (mean ± 4 SD), missing values

n = 176

Sex (% F) = 44.3

Ethnicity: Caucasian

Maternal age (yr) = 30.3 ± 4

Children blood pressure measured at 4, 6 and 11 yr of age during clinical examination (seated measurements; 3 times, 1‐min apart)

Maternal urinary Se in early pregnancy (specific‐gravity adjusted) (μg/L, geometric mean (95% CI)): 21.72 (20.72, 22.77)

Incident cases of elevated BP: 56

Maternal age, maternal education, maternal pre‐pregnancy BMI, maternal smoking during pregnancy, child's sex, child's exact age, and child's height at each time point, maternal urinary Co, Se, Mo, As, Cd, Sb, Pb

Per‐year change in BP levels from 4 to 11 yr of age, main effect estimate* for Se (95% CI)

SBP

β = 0.1 (−0.1, 0.3)

DBP

β = 0.1 (−0.1, 0.3)

*Bayesian Varying Coefficient Kernel Machine Regression

BEST: The Bangladesh Vitamin E and Selenium Trial; BP: blood pressure; FLEMENGHO: The Flemish Study on Environment, Genes and Health Outcomes; HTN: Hypertension; PROGRESS: Programming Research in Obesity, Growth, Environment and Social Stressors; NR: not reported; PURE: Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology; yr: year.

(a) Mean ± SD (range), unless specified otherwise.