Table 2:
Results for the attrition and outcome prediction tasks (mean ± STD). Obr: Observation window (months), Prd: Prediction window (months), B.AUPRC: Baseline AUPRC which is equal to fraction of positives samples in the dataset.
| Attrition | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obr/Prd | Precision | Recall | Specificity | AUROC | AUPRC | B.AUPRC |
| 1/1.5 | 56 ± 3 | 48 ± 1 | 73 ± 0 | 69 ± 4 | 59 ± 6 | 0.4 |
| 2/3 | 66 ± 3 | 71 ± 5 | 68 ± 0 | 73 ± 4 | 71 ± 5 | 0.5 |
| 4/6 | 79 ± 2 | 84 ± 1 | 66 ± 2 | 82 ± 3 | 86 ± 3 | 0.63 |
| 6/9 | 84 ± 3 | 89 ± 1 | 64 ± 1 | 84 ± 3 | 91 ± 3 | 0.69 |
| Outcome | ||||||
| Obr/Prd | Precision | Recall | Specificity | AUROC | AUPRC | B.AUPRC |
| 1/1.5 | 30 ± 8 | 68 ± 4 | 61 ± 1 | 71 ± 2 | 38 ± 2 | 0.19 |
| 2/3 | 46 ± 4 | 67 ± 7 | 68 ± 0 | 73 ± 6 | 53 ± 9 | 0.27 |
| 4/6 | 63 ± 7 | 79 ± 2 | 71 ± 0 | 84 ± 4 | 71 ± 2 | 0.31 |
| 6/9 | 73 ± 3 | 70 ± 2 | 68 ± 1 | 86 ± 4 | 75 ± 4 | 0.31 |