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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Jan 20.
Published in final edited form as: Proc Mach Learn Res. 2022 Nov;193:326–342.

Table 2:

Results for the attrition and outcome prediction tasks (mean ± STD). Obr: Observation window (months), Prd: Prediction window (months), B.AUPRC: Baseline AUPRC which is equal to fraction of positives samples in the dataset.

Attrition
Obr/Prd Precision Recall Specificity AUROC AUPRC B.AUPRC
1/1.5 56 ± 3 48 ± 1 73 ± 0 69 ± 4 59 ± 6 0.4
2/3 66 ± 3 71 ± 5 68 ± 0 73 ± 4 71 ± 5 0.5
4/6 79 ± 2 84 ± 1 66 ± 2 82 ± 3 86 ± 3 0.63
6/9 84 ± 3 89 ± 1 64 ± 1 84 ± 3 91 ± 3 0.69
Outcome
Obr/Prd Precision Recall Specificity AUROC AUPRC B.AUPRC
1/1.5 30 ± 8 68 ± 4 61 ± 1 71 ± 2 38 ± 2 0.19
2/3 46 ± 4 67 ± 7 68 ± 0 73 ± 6 53 ± 9 0.27
4/6 63 ± 7 79 ± 2 71 ± 0 84 ± 4 71 ± 2 0.31
6/9 73 ± 3 70 ± 2 68 ± 1 86 ± 4 75 ± 4 0.31