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. 2022 Dec 28;159(2):160–171. doi: 10.1001/jamadermatol.2022.5508

Table 1. Results of Random Effects Analysis of Risk Ratio for Each Histopathologic Risk Factor for Local Recurrence, Nodal Metastasis, and Disease-Specific Death.

Risk factor Risk ratio (95% CI) P value Studies, No. I2 statisic, %
Local recurrence
Invasion beyond subcutaneous fat 9.1 (2.8-29.2) <.001 5 0
Desmoplasia 8.1 (4.1-15.9) <.001 3 17
Tumor thickness ≥6 mm 4.6 (2.1-9.9) <.001 3 1
Perineural invasion 4.1 (2.7-6.3) <.001 12 0
Lymphovascular invasion 2.8 (1.5-5.1) <.001 6 0
Poor differentiation 2.4 (1.2-4.8) .02 12 0
Tumor thickness ≥8 mm 2.2 (0.6-7.8) .23 1 0
Tumor thickness ≥4 mm 2.2 (1.0-4.6) .05 2 0
Tumor size ≥2 cm 2.0 (1.2-3.4) .01 10 0
Tumor size ≥5 cm 1.6 (0.4-7.5) .52 1 0
Tumor thickness ≥2 mm 1.1 (0.5-2.2) .85 2 0
Nodal metastasis
Tumor thickness ≥5 mm 18.7 (2.5-139) .004 1 0
Tumor thickness ≥4 mm 7.2 (2.1-24.3) .002 1 0
Perineural/vascular involvement 6.9 (4.8-9.9) <.001 3 12
Cytokeratin 19 expression 5.0 (0.7-35.8) .11 1 0
High PD-L1 expression 3.6 (1.9-7.0) .001 2 0
LLT-1 expression 3.4 (1.4-8.3) .007 1 0
Tumor budding 2.9 (2.1-4.2) <.001 3 50
Desmoplasia 2.8 (2.0-4.0) <.001 2 0
Perineural invasion 2.7 (2.2-3.2) <.001 19 0
Poor differentiation 2.6 (2.2-2.9) <.001 18 29
Membrane E-cadherin 2.2 (1.7-3.0) <.001 1 0
EGFR+ 2.2 (1.4-3.7) .002 2 0
Lymphovascular invasion 2.1 (1.7-2.6) <.001 11 0
Cortactin 2.0 (1.1-3.9) .03 1 0
Tumor size ≥2 cm 2.0 (1.7-2.4) <.001 13 0
Invasion beyond subcutaneous fat 2.0 (1.4-2.7) <.001 8 0
Tumor thickness ≥6 mm 1.9 (1.4-2.6) <.001 5 28
Tumor thickness ≥8 mm 1.8 (1.0-3.1) .05 2 0
Cytoplasm E-Cadherin 1.3 (0.7-2.3) .39 1 0
ERBB3+ 1.3 (0.7-2.4) .44 1 0
Tumor size ≥4 cm 1.2 (0.5-2.9) .71 2 0
Tumor thickness ≥2 mm 1.2 (0.3-4.7) .82 2 0
Tumor thickness ≥3 mm 1.2 (0.1-9.9) .88 1 0
FAK expression 1.0 (0.6-1.9) .95 1 0
Tumor size ≥5 cm 1.0 (0.6-1.9) .95 1 0
ERBB4+ 0.8 (0.4-1.6) .58 1 0
Podoplanin 0.8 (0.5-1.3) .38 1 0
Disease-specific death
Invasion beyond subcutaneous fat 10.4 (3.0-36.3) <.001 5 0
Tumor size ≥5 cm 8.9 (4.7-17.0) <.001 1 0
Lymphovascular invasion 8.8 (3.9-19.7) <.001 3 0
Desmoplasia 7.6 (4.9-11.8) <.001 2 1
Perineural invasion 7.5 (4.5-12.3) <.001 7 2
Tumor thickness ≥6 mm 6.5 (3.4-12.3) <.001 1 0
LLT-1 expression 6.2 (1.8-21.3) .004 1 0
Poor differentiation 5.9 (1.6-21.0) .007 8 6
Tumor size ≥2 cm 2.9 (0.8-11.1) .12 6 0
Podoplanin 2.8 (1.0-8.0) .05 1 0
FAK expression 1.6 (0.8-3.2) .23 1 0
Cortactin 1.0 (0.5-1.9) .98 1 0

Abbreviations: EGFR, epidermal growth factor receptor; FAK, focal adhesion kinase; LLT-1, lectin-like transcript 1 expression; PD-L1, programmed death ligand-1.