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. 2022 Nov 3;10(1):502–517. doi: 10.1002/ehf2.14208

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© 2022 The Authors. ESC Heart Failure published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of European Society of Cardiology.

This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.

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Calibration plots comparing observed vs. predicted mortality at 1 year. (A) The Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry (ADHERE) model; (B) Get With the Guidelines‐Heart Failure programme (GWTG‐HF); (C) Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure (ASCEND) risk scores; (D) Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Streptochinasi nell'Infarto Miocardico‐Heart Failure (GISSI‐HF); (E) Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM); (F) Meta‐Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC‐HF) risk score; (G) Barcelona Bio‐Heart Failure (BCN‐Bio‐HF) risk calculator. Y axis represents observed mortality; X axis represents expected mortality; dashed line represents best fitting curve; LOWESS smoother curve (blue line) allows assessing calibration at individual patient level; circles represent groups automatically created by the test.