Table 3.
DCC/ADDC GARCH Estimates (EBOND)
Pre-Covid | Covid-Era | Compare | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DCC | ADCC | DCC | ADCC | DCC | ADCC | |||||
Coeff | SE | Coeff | SE | Coeff | SE | Coeff | SE | ZPBMP | ZPBMP | |
0.0952a | 0.0249 | 0.0718a | 0.0259 | 0.3303a | 0.1131 | 0.2950b | 0.1172 | 2.0301c | −0.9355 | |
0.0242 | 0.0184 | 0.0274 | 0.0187 | −0.0294 | 0.0442 | −0.0181 | 0.0449 | −1.1195 | 1.3180 | |
0.0356 a | 0.0125 | 0.0429 a | 0.0146 | 0.2740 | 0.1940 | 0.4302 | 0.2935 | 1.2263 | −0.9578 | |
0.0861 a | 0.0129 | 0.0392 a | 0.0114 | 0.0820 a | 0.0316 | 0.0012 | 0.0380 | −0.1201 | −0.6797 | |
0.9053 a | 0.0143 | 0.9047 a | 0.0152 | 0.8813 a | 0.0430 | 0.8682 a | 0.0515 | −0.5296 | 0.6901 | |
0.0811 a | 0.0227 | 0.1359 c | 0.0761 | −0.2561 | ||||||
7.5155 a | 0.9334 | 7.5941 a | 0.9332 | 7.2930 a | 0.8318 | 7.2760 a | 0.8196 | −0.1780 | 0.6731 | |
0.0393 | 0.0293 | 0.0172 | 0.02933 | 0.0676 b | 0.0279 | 0.0444 | 0.0278 | 0.6995 | 0.4215 | |
−0.02864 | 0.0186 | −0.0310 c | 0.0188 | −0.0217a | 0.0029 | −0.0200 | 0.0181 | 0.3687 | 2.5950 b | |
0.0326 b | 0.0146 | 0.0220 a | 0.0081 | 0.0734 a | 0.0234 | 0.0792 a | 0.0205 | 1.4793 | 2.2066 b | |
0.0646 a | 0.0137 | 0.0140 c | 0.0073 | 0.1136 a | 0.0139 | 0.0435 a | 0.0112 | 2.5107b | −6.9381 a | |
0.9319 a | 0.0141 | 0.9475 a | 0.0072 | 0.8757 a | 0.01308 | 0.851 a | 0.0119 | −2.9221a | 1.8538 | |
0.0687 a | 0.0123 | 0.1127 a | 0.0203 | 0.2118 | ||||||
5.7644 a | 0.6421 | 6.1797 a | 0.7292 | 5.9452 a | 0.6457 | 6.4019 a | 0.7542 | 0.1985 | 0.1066 | |
0.0327 b | 0.0136 | 0.03667 a | 0.0136 | 0.03609a | 0.0228 | 0.0395 | 0.0228 | 0.1277 | 0.0875 | |
−0.0182 | 0.0158 | −0.0208 | 0.0159 | −0.0170a | 0.0034 | −0.0189 | 0.0148 | 0.0742 | 0.3722 | |
0.0077 a | 0.0019 | 0.0079 a | 0.0019 | 0.0086 a | 0.0019 | 0.0089 a | 0.0019 | 0.3349 | 0.0791 | |
0.0349 a | 0.0033 | 0.0518 a | 0.0071 | 0.0350 a | 0.0032 | 0.0526 a | 0.0072 | 0.0218 | −0.1030 | |
0.9590 a | 0.0007 | 0.9575 a | 0.0087 | 0.9587 a | 0.0006 | 0.9566 a | 0.0008 | −0.3254 | 0.0404 | |
−0.0293 a | 0.0106 | −0.0287 a | 0.0104 | −0.5616 | ||||||
4.0861 a | 0.3263 | 4.2121 a | 0.3342 | 3.9505 a | 0.2717 | 3.9689 a | 0.2754 | −0.3194 | −0.9440 | |
0.0082 | 0.0067 | 0.0108 | 0.0069 | 0.0029 | 0.0050 | 0.0027 | 0.0051 | −0.6340 | 1.4080 | |
−0.0321 c | 0.0193 | −0.0320 c | 0.0193 | 0.0044a | 0.0009 | 0.0044 | 0.0172 | 1.8891 | −0.8321 | |
0.0012 a | 0.0003 | 0.0010 a | 0.0003 | 0.0007 a | 0.0002 | 0.0007 a | 0.0002 | −1.3868 | 0.0172 | |
0.0394 a | 0.0031 | 0.0488 a | 0.0057 | 0.0507 a | 0.0077 | 0.0490 a | 0.0101 | 1.3613 | −1.6613 | |
0.9551 a | 0.0012 | 0.9578 a | 0.0008 | 0.9453 a | 0.0073 | 0.9456 a | 0.0073 | −1.3247 | −3.8049 a | |
0.0619 a | 0.0108 | 0.0027 | 0.0112 | −1.7454 | ||||||
9.2622 a | 1.4348 | 9.4044 a | 1.5015 | 6.5270 a | 0.6871 | 6.5233 a | 0.6858 | −1.7193 | 0.7443 | |
0.0857 a | 0.0107 | 0.0619 a | 0.0108 | 0.1044a | 0.0241 | 0.0821a | 0.0249 | 0.7092 | −1.9449 | |
−0.0524 a | 0.0179 | 0.0619 a | 0.0108 | 0.0187a | 0.0017 | 0.0224 | 0.0172 | 3.9543 a | 3.5785 a | |
0.0196 a | 0.0053 | −0.0416 b | 0.0185 | 0.0343 a | 0.0110 | 0.0379 a | 0.0123 | 1.2039 | 1.9173 | |
0.1599 a | 0.0207 | 0.0222 a | 0.0045 | 0.0752 a | 0.0117 | 0.0434 a | 0.0101 | −3.5622 a | 41.0708 a | |
0.8390 a | 0.0192 | 0.0057 | 0.0126 | 0.9069 a | 0.0123 | 0.9081 a | 0.018 | 2.9778 a | −25.2400 a | |
0.7395 a | 0.0177 | 0.0748 a | 0.0195 | −0.1285 | ||||||
4.4245 a | 0.3494 | 4.6916 a | 0.4063 | 4.6848 a | 0.9656 | 4.5698 a | 0.8562 | 0.2535 | 0.2250 | |
0.0205 a | 0.0031 | 0.0221 a | 0.0031 | 0.0219 a | 0.0061 | 0.0237 a | 0.0064 | 0.2046 | 0.0000 | |
0.9545 a | 0.0095 | 0.9450 a | 0.01135 | 0.9507 a | 0.0123 | 0.9450 a | 0.0125 | −0.2445 | −0.3604 | |
0.0038 | 0.0026 | 0.0007 | 0.0082 | −3.9220 | ||||||
6.5645 a | 0.3067 | 6.6234 a | 0.3135 | 4.5198 a | 0.4324 | 4.5967 a | 0.4108 | −3.8570 a | −0.9355 a | |
AIC | 12.5270 | 12.510 | 15.553 | 15.548 | ||||||
BIC | 12.615 | 12.610 | 15.978 | 16.032 | ||||||
Shibata | 12.527 | 12.510 | 15.534 | 15.523 | ||||||
HQ | 12.559 | 12.546 | 15.721 | 15.740 | ||||||
LL | −18,378 | −18,438 | −3114 | −3107 |
Source: Authors’ computation with data sourced from DataStream
a, b, and c are the levels of statistical significance at 1%, 5%, and 10%, respectively. To examine the estimates of the two time periods (i.e., Covid vs pre-Covid), we use the bootstrapped version of the Paternoster et al. (1998) approach. The column “compare” shows the z-statistic that is based on the null hypothesis that the COVID-era coefficients are not greater than the pre-COVID coefficients