Table 1.
Excess mortality associated with diabetes in the United States from March 2020, to March 2022.
| Subgroups | Observed death number | Excess death number (95 % CI) |
Excess death number per week (95 % CI) |
Excess death rates per million persons (95 % CI) | Excess risk % (95 % CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overalla | 839,591 | 270,591 (237,294, 302,016) | 2505 (2197, 2796) | 828.6 (726.6, 924.8) | 47.6 (41.7, 53.1) |
| Age groups | |||||
| Age 20–64 | 207,208 | 70,397 (60,661, 79,466) | 652 (562, 736) | 366.1 (315.5, 413.3) | 51.5 (44.3, 58.1) |
| Age 65–84 | 453,199 | 143,899 (125,604, 161,153) | 1332 (1163, 1492) | 3146.0 (2746.0, 3523.2) | 46.5 (40.6, 52.1) |
| Age 85 + | 178,217 | 50,139 (42,466, 57,373) | 464 (393, 531) | 7571.8 (6413.0, 8664.2) | 39.1 (33.2, 44.8) |
| Sex | |||||
| Female | 366,615 | 115,938 (101,774, 129,327) | 1074 (942, 1197) | 699.5 (614.0, 780.2) | 46.2 (40.6, 51.6) |
| Male | 472,976 | 154,670 (135,168, 173,030) | 1432 (1252, 1602) | 961.8 (840.5, 1075.9) | 48.6 (42.5, 54.4) |
| Race/ethnicity | |||||
| NH-White | 548,412 | 130,032 (109,664, 149,432) | 1204 (1015, 1384) | 662.6 (558.8, 761.4) | 31.1 (26.2, 35.7) |
| NH-Black | 134,498 | 57,360 (50,594, 63,571) | 531 (468, 589) | 1434.2 (1265, 1589.5) | 74.4 (65.6, 82.4) |
| NH-Asian | 29,268 | 12,500 (10,774, 14,054) | 116 (100, 130) | 687.4 (592.5, 772.9) | 74.5 (64.3, 83.8) |
| Hispanic | 107,358 | 60,499 (54,722, 65,636) | 560 (507, 608) | 1019.2 (921.9, 1105.7) | 129.1 (116.8, 140.1) |
| Pandemic year | |||||
| Mar 2020 - Feb 2021 | 416,668 | 140,110 (126,094, 153,450) | 2694 (2425, 2951) | 429.0 (386.1, 469.9) | 50.7 (45.6, 55.5) |
| Mar 2021 – Mar 2022 | 422,923 | 130,481 (111,200, 148,566) | 2330 (1986, 2653) | 399.6 (340.5, 454.9) | 44.6 (38.0, 50.8) |
| Pandemic wavesb | |||||
| Wave I | 105,817 | 35,093 (31,624, 38,401) | 2507 (2259, 2743) | 107.5 (96.8, 117.6) | 49.6 (44.7, 54.3) |
| Wave II | 119,659 | 36,185 (32,023, 40,150) | 2129 (1884, 2362) | 110.8 (98.1, 122.9) | 43.3 (38.4, 48.1) |
| Wave III | 304,875 | 98,263 (86,555, 109,333) | 2586 (2278, 2877) | 300.9 (265.0, 334.8) | 47.6 (41.9, 52.9) |
| Wave IV | 165,447 | 55,857 (48,765, 62,520) | 2539 (2217, 2842) | 171.0 (149.3, 191.4) | 51.0 (44.5, 57.0) |
| Wave V | 143,793 | 45,193 (38,327, 51,612) | 2658 (2255, 3036) | 138.4 (117.4, 158.0) | 45.8 (38.9, 52.3) |
Abbreviation: CI, confidence interval.
Excess estimates in this table were measured according to the multiple causes of death that diabetes was listed anywhere on the death certificate.
Wave I was from Week 10 March 1, 2020, to Week 23 June 6 2020, Wave II was from Week 24 June 7 2020 to Week 40 October 3 2020, Wave III was from Week 41 October 4 2020 to Week 25 June 26 2021, Wave IV was from Week 26 June 27 2021 to Week 47 November 27 2021, and Wave V was from Week 48 November 28 2021 to Week 12 March 26 2022, according to the daily surveillance of COVID-19 deaths in the US reported to CDC (shown at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailydeaths).