TABLE 3.
Number needed to treat (NNT) and cost‐effectiveness for prevention of COVID‐19 deaths by an extra vaccine booster against SARS‐CoV‐2 using infection fatality rates from Denmark from 2022 and hypothetical vaccine efficacies and vaccine costs (per dose) and assuming all people are eventually infected.
Age group (in years) | Relative vaccine efficacies for the prevention of COVID‐19 deaths | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10% | 30% | 50% | 80% | 90% | 95% | 99% | |
Number needed to treat to prevent one COVID‐19 death | |||||||
17–35 | 625,000 | 208,333 | 125,000 | 78,125 | 69,444 | 65,789 | 63,131 |
36–50 | 243,902 | 81,301 | 48,780 | 30,488 | 27,100 | 25,674 | 24,637 |
51–60 | 131,579 | 43,860 | 26,316 | 16,447 | 14,620 | 13,850 | 13,291 |
61–72 | 66,225 | 22,075 | 13,245 | 8278 | 7358 | 6971 | 6689 |
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 5 US Dollars | |||||||
17–35 | 3,125,000 | 1,041,665 | 625,000 | 390,625 | 347,220 | 328,945 | 315,655 |
36–50 | 1,219,510 | 406,505 | 243,900 | 152,440 | 135,500 | 128,370 | 123,185 |
51–60 | 657,895 | 219,300 | 131,580 | 82,235 | 73,100 | 69,250 | 66,455 |
61–72 | 331,125 | 110,375 | 66,225 | 41,390 | 36,790 | 34,855 | 33,445 |
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 20 US Dollars | |||||||
17–35 | 12,500,000 | 4,166,660 | 2,500,000 | 1,562,500 | 1,388,880 | 1,315,780 | 1,262,620 |
36–50 | 4,878,040 | 1,626,020 | 975,600 | 609,760 | 542,000 | 513,480 | 492,740 |
51–60 | 2,631,580 | 877,200 | 526,320 | 328,940 | 292,400 | 277,000 | 265,820 |
61–72 | 1,324,500 | 441,500 | 264,900 | 165,560 | 147,160 | 139,420 | 133,780 |
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 120 US Dollars | |||||||
17–35 | 75,000,000 | 24,999,960 | 15,000,000 | 9,375,000 | 8,333,280 | 7,894,680 | 7,575,720 |
36–50 | 29,268,240 | 9,756,120 | 5,853,600 | 3,658,560 | 3,252,000 | 3,080,880 | 2,956,440 |
51–60 | 15,789,480 | 5,263,200 | 3,157,920 | 1,973,640 | 1,754,400 | 1,662,000 | 1,594,920 |
61–72 | 7,947,000 | 2,649,000 | 1,589,400 | 993,360 | 882,960 | 836,520 | 802,680 |