Skip to main content
editorial
. 2022 Nov 24;53(2):e13906. doi: 10.1111/eci.13906

TABLE 3.

Number needed to treat (NNT) and cost‐effectiveness for prevention of COVID‐19 deaths by an extra vaccine booster against SARS‐CoV‐2 using infection fatality rates from Denmark from 2022 and hypothetical vaccine efficacies and vaccine costs (per dose) and assuming all people are eventually infected.

Age group (in years) Relative vaccine efficacies for the prevention of COVID‐19 deaths
10% 30% 50% 80% 90% 95% 99%
Number needed to treat to prevent one COVID‐19 death
17–35 625,000 208,333 125,000 78,125 69,444 65,789 63,131
36–50 243,902 81,301 48,780 30,488 27,100 25,674 24,637
51–60 131,579 43,860 26,316 16,447 14,620 13,850 13,291
61–72 66,225 22,075 13,245 8278 7358 6971 6689
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 5 US Dollars
17–35 3,125,000 1,041,665 625,000 390,625 347,220 328,945 315,655
36–50 1,219,510 406,505 243,900 152,440 135,500 128,370 123,185
51–60 657,895 219,300 131,580 82,235 73,100 69,250 66,455
61–72 331,125 110,375 66,225 41,390 36,790 34,855 33,445
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 20 US Dollars
17–35 12,500,000 4,166,660 2,500,000 1,562,500 1,388,880 1,315,780 1,262,620
36–50 4,878,040 1,626,020 975,600 609,760 542,000 513,480 492,740
51–60 2,631,580 877,200 526,320 328,940 292,400 277,000 265,820
61–72 1,324,500 441,500 264,900 165,560 147,160 139,420 133,780
Costs to prevent one COVID‐19 death assuming vaccine costs of 120 US Dollars
17–35 75,000,000 24,999,960 15,000,000 9,375,000 8,333,280 7,894,680 7,575,720
36–50 29,268,240 9,756,120 5,853,600 3,658,560 3,252,000 3,080,880 2,956,440
51–60 15,789,480 5,263,200 3,157,920 1,973,640 1,754,400 1,662,000 1,594,920
61–72 7,947,000 2,649,000 1,589,400 993,360 882,960 836,520 802,680