Table 4.
Projected number of Hispanic adults 50 years and older with chronic disease (in millions by sex and age) in the United States.
| Age cohort | 2020 | 2035 | 2050 | Relative change between 2020 and 2050 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥1 chronic disease (million) | ||||
| 50–59 years | 2.5907 [2.4400–2.7267] |
2.9035 [2.7270–3.0625] |
3.6682 [3.4463–3.8678] |
41.59% [41.24%−41.85%] |
| 60–79 years | 7.3341 [7.0190–7.6569] |
11.835 [11.153–12.659] |
14.056 [13.239–15.044] |
91.66% [88.62%−96.49%] |
| 80 and older | 1.8748 [1.6667–2.1631] |
4.7988 [3.9698–6.1682] |
7.0086 [5.5290–9.7020] |
273.8% [231.7%−348.5%] |
| Total | 11.7996 [11.125–12.546] |
19.537 [17.849–21.889] |
24.732 [22.214–28.613] |
109.61% [99.67%−128.1%] |
| Female | ||||
| 50–59 years | 1.2915 [1.2059–1.3694] |
1.4372 [1.3377–1.5272] |
1.7908 [1.6673–1.9025] |
38.66% [38.26%−38.93%] |
| 60–79 years | 3.7812 [3.6062–3.9682] |
6.1549 [5.7926–6.5917] |
7.2247 [6.7941–7.7456] |
91.07% [88.40%−95.19%] |
| 80 and older | 1.1254 [0.9961–1.3028] |
2.8186 [2.3239–3.6155] |
4.1383 [3.2314–5.7171] |
267.7% [224.4%−338.8%] |
| Male | ||||
| 50–59 years | 1.2992 [1.2295–1.3581] |
1.4663 [1.3837–1.5361] |
1.8774 [1.7722–1.9664] |
44.51% [44.14%−44.79%] |
| 60–79 years | 3.5529 [3.4094–3.7141] |
5.6809 [5.3608–6.0676] |
6.8316 [6.4450–7.2994] |
92.28% [89.03%−96.53%] |
| 80 and older | 0.7494 [0.6629–0.8603] |
1.9802 [1.6114–2.5527] |
2.8703 [2.2253–3.9849] |
283.0% [235.7%−363.2%] |
| Multimorbidity (million) | ||||
| 50–59 years | 0.3028 [0.2302–0.3902] |
0.3381 [0.2555–0.4365] |
0.4278 [0.3235–0.5528] |
41.27% [40.53%−41.68%] |
| 60–79 years | 0.9176 [0.6792–1.1838] |
1.4275 [0.9545–1.9999] |
1.6943 [1.1353–2.3721] |
84.65% [67.15%−100.3%] |
| 80 and older | 0.2428 [0.1619–0.3280] |
0.5578 [0.3114–0.8892] |
0.7915 [0.4188–1.3337] |
225.9% [158.6%−306.7%] |
| Total | 1.4632 [1.0713–1.902] |
2.3234 [1.5214–3.3156] |
2.9136 [1.8776–4.2586] |
99.13% [75.26%−123.9%] |
| Female | ||||
| 50–59 years | 0.1371 [0.0973–0.1837] |
0.1522 [0.1074–0.2045] |
0.1897 [0.1337–0.2551] |
38.31% [37.40–38.87%] |
| 60–79 years | 0.4331 [0.2953–0.5854] |
0.6847 [0.4105–0.9842] |
0.8024 [0.4811–1.1539] |
85.24% [62.94%−97.13%] |
| 80 and older | 0.1389 [0.0864–0.1937] |
0.3143 [0.1603–0.5314] |
0.4495 [0.2165–0.8224] |
223.7% [150.6%−324.5%] |
| Male | ||||
| 50–59 years | 0.1657 [0.1329–0.2096] |
0.1859 [0.1482–0.2356] |
0.2381 [0.1898–0.3021] |
43.73% [42.83%−44.15%] |
| 60–79 years | 0.4844 [0.3747–0.6135] |
0.7428 [0.5270–1.0157] |
0.8919 [0.6336–1.2181] |
84.12% [69.12%−98.55%] |
| 80 and older | 0.1040 [0.0753–0.1359] |
0.2436 [0.1511–0.3677] |
0.3420 [0.2014–0.5492] |
228.9% [167.4%−304.2%] |