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[Preprint]. 2023 Jan 11:2023.01.10.23284397. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2023.01.10.23284397

Table 5.

Adjusted vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 by SARS-CoV-2 variant stratified by prior infection status

Vaccination§ Total SARS-CoV-2 positive % positive Unadjusted VE [95% CI] Adjusted VE [95% CI]

Overall

No prior infection Unvaccinated 135 60 44 Referent
2 doses 389 129 33 38 [8, 58] 17 [−40, 51]
3 doses 207 57 28 53 [25, 70] 53 [10, 76]

With prior infection Unvaccinated 154 45 29 Referent
2 doses 258 57 22 31 [−8, 56] 42 [−1, 66]
3 doses 434 107 25 21 [−19, 47] 55 [21, 74]

Delta variant

No prior infection Unvaccinated 43 14 33 Referent
2 doses 189 20 11 76 [46, 89] 70 [11, 90]
3 doses 31 1 3 93 [44, 99] 97 [60, 100]

With prior infection Unvaccinated 37 5 14 Referent
2 doses 83 8 10 32 [−125, 79] 23 [−225, 82]
3 doses 33 1 3 84 [−44, 98] 87 [−86, 99]

Omicron variant

No prior infection Unvaccinated 74 38 51 Referent
2 doses 157 93 59 −38 [−140, 21] −53 [−205, 23]
3 doses 162 53 33 54 [19, 74] 23 [−72, 65]

With prior infection Unvaccinated 109 38 35 Referent
2 doses 158 47 30 21 [−33, 53] 45 [−4, 70]
3 doses 371 104 28 27 [−15, 54] 57 [20, 76]

CI, confidence interval; VE, vaccine effectiveness

Models adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, site, illness onset week, self-reported chronic medical condition, high-risk SARS-CoV-2 exposure.

Includes seropositive nucleocapsid protein (NP) antibody assay, electronic medical record documented positive SARS-CoV-2 molecular or antigen test, or participant self-report of positive SARS-CoV-2 positive laboratory test >90 days before onset of current illness.

§

Vaccination status based on number of doses documented in electronic medical record received ≥14 days before illness onset for 2nd dose or ≥7 days before illness onset for 3rd dose.