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. 2022 Dec 22;17(1):1–9. doi: 10.21010/Ajidv17i1.1

Table 1.

Definition of indicators, formula and terms used in assessing the validity of forecasts.

Indicators formula Define terms
Autocorrelation function (ACF) graphic file with name AJID-17-1-g012.jpg Error terms, Inline graphic
Number of lags,Inline graphic
Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) graphic file with name AJID-17-1-g015.jpg Maximum value of the Inline graphic Likelihood function
Number of estimated parametersInline graphic
Mean Absolute Error (MAE) graphic file with name AJID-17-1-g018.jpg The forecast value Inline graphic
The actual value Inline graphic
Number of fitted observed n
Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) graphic file with name AJID-17-1-g021.jpg
Mean Absolute Percentages Error (MAPE) graphic file with name AJID-17-1-g022.jpg