Table 1.
Definition of indicators, formula and terms used in assessing the validity of forecasts.
| Indicators | formula | Define terms |
|---|---|---|
| Autocorrelation function (ACF) |
|
Error terms, ![]() Number of lags,
|
| Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) |
|
Maximum value of the Likelihood function Number of estimated parameters
|
| Mean Absolute Error (MAE) |
|
The forecast value ![]() The actual value ![]() Number of fitted observed n |
| Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) |
|
|
| Mean Absolute Percentages Error (MAPE) |
|

Likelihood function

