Table 7.
15 day forecasting for the daily COVID-19 per million cases using ARIMA (11,1,9) model.
| Observation No. | Point Forecast | 80 % [L, U] | 95 %[L, U] |
|---|---|---|---|
| 499 | 1404.11 | [104.657, 2703.563] | [-583.232, 3391.452] |
| 500 | 5748.161 | [4443.508, 7052.814] | [3752.866, 7743.456] |
| 501 | 1680.23 | [375.414, 2985.047] | [-315.315, 3675.775] |
| 502 | 1390.971 | [-22.331, 2804.273] | [-770.487, 3552.430] |
| 503 | 3271.865 | [1843.662, 4700.069] | [1087.617, 5456.114] |
| 504 | 3957.906 | [2526.972, 5388.841] | [1769.481, 6146.332] |
| 505 | 851.2315 | [-582.394, 2284.857] | [-1341.31, 3043.773] |
| 506 | 1756.19 | [293.728, 3218.653] | [-480.453, 3992.834] |
| 507 | 5223.569 | [3759.226, 6687.912] | [2984.049, 7463.088] |
| 508 | 1914.037 | [441.259, 3386.814] | [-338.382, 4166.455] |
| 509 | 1517.278 | [27.764, 3006.793] | [-760.738, 3795.294] |
| 510 | 3175.333 | [1685.812, 4664.855] | [897.307, 5453.360] |
| 511 | 4392.675 | [2900.543, 5884.807] | [2110.655, 6674.695] |
| 512 | 615.8379 | [-878.250, 2109.925] | [-1669.170, 2900.847] |
| 513 | 2112.737 | [554.377, 3671.096] | [-270.569, 4496.042] |