Table 3.
Comparison of actual and predicted values of CO2 emissions in China
| Year | Actual value of CO2 emissions in China (million tons) | BP neural network | OLS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predicted value | Relative error (%) | Predicted value | Relative error (%) | ||||
| 1990 | 2088.854 | 2266.574 | 8.51 | 2216.484 | 6.11 | ||
| 1991 | 2200.885 | 2244.943 | 2.00 | 2250.705 | 2.26 | ||
| 1992 | 2295.775 | 2310.92 | 0.66 | 2240.567 | 2.40 | ||
| 1993 | 2500.73 | 2427.965 | 2.91 | 2351.068 | 5.98 | ||
| 1994 | 2599.503 | 2568.828 | 1.18 | 2533.655 | 2.53 | ||
| 1995 | 2900.265 | 2751.662 | 5.12 | 2833.114 | 2.32 | ||
| 1996 | 2871.981 | 2862.086 | 0.34 | 2916.22 | 1.54 | ||
| 1997 | 2925.749 | 2885.301 | 1.38 | 2932.003 | 0.21 | ||
| 1998 | 3020.717 | 2934.798 | 2.84 | 2933.306 | 2.89 | ||
| 1999 | 2920.897 | 2996.74 | 2.60 | 2888.392 | 1.11 | ||
| 2000 | 3099.685 | 3155.233 | 1.79 | 3231.622 | 4.26 | ||
| 2001 | 3255.951 | 3320.678 | 1.99 | 3335.584 | 2.45 | ||
| 2002 | 3511.728 | 3518.075 | 0.18 | 3515.335 | 0.10 | ||
| 2003 | 4068.095 | 4014.692 | 1.31 | 3925.766 | 3.50 | ||
| 2004 | 4741.831 | 4673.658 | 1.44 | 4731.485 | 0.22 | ||
| 2005 | 5407.518 | 5334.347 | 1.35 | 5518.728 | 2.06 | ||
| 2006 | 5961.808 | 5935.961 | 0.43 | 6050.772 | 1.49 | ||
| 2007 | 6473.211 | 6634.821 | 2.50 | 6621.774 | 2.30 | ||
| 2008 | 6669.112 | 6932.983 | 3.96 | 6804.283 | 2.03 | ||
| 2009 | 7131.512 | 7236.915 | 1.48 | 7105.661 | 0.36 | ||
| 2010 | 7830.969 | 7904.091 | 0.93 | 7844.707 | 0.18 | ||
| 2011 | 8569.653 | 8452.455 | 1.37 | 8346.275 | 2.61 | ||
| 2012 | 8818.413 | 8650.408 | 1.91 | 8658.672 | 1.81 | ||
| 2013 | 9188.381 | 8886.471 | 3.29 | 8905.344 | 3.08 | ||
| 2014 | 9116.341 | 9031.354 | 0.93 | 9110.081 | 0.07 | ||
| 2015 | 9093.304 | 9102.761 | 0.10 | 9186.184 | 1.02 | ||
| 2016 | 9054.476 | 9175.979 | 1.34 | 9269.595 | 2.38 | ||
| 2017 | 9245.582 | 9371.353 | 1.36 | 9353.227 | 1.16 | ||
| 2018 | 9528.214 | 9568.146 | 0.42 | 9525.992 | 0.02 | ||
| 2019 | 9809.198 | 9717.827 | 0.93 | 9763.737 | 0.46 | ||
| MAPE (%) | 1.89 | 1.96 | |||||
| MAE | 90.41 | 90.43 | |||||
| MSE | 13,030.95 | 13,116.35 | |||||
| RMSE | 114.15 | 114.53 | |||||