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. 2023 Feb 1;30(16):46711–46726. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25544-1

Table 3.

Comparison of actual and predicted values of CO2 emissions in China

Year Actual value of CO2 emissions in China (million tons) BP neural network OLS
Predicted value Relative error (%) Predicted value Relative error (%)
1990 2088.854 2266.574 8.51 2216.484 6.11
1991 2200.885 2244.943 2.00 2250.705 2.26
1992 2295.775 2310.92 0.66 2240.567 2.40
1993 2500.73 2427.965 2.91 2351.068 5.98
1994 2599.503 2568.828 1.18 2533.655 2.53
1995 2900.265 2751.662 5.12 2833.114 2.32
1996 2871.981 2862.086 0.34 2916.22 1.54
1997 2925.749 2885.301 1.38 2932.003 0.21
1998 3020.717 2934.798 2.84 2933.306 2.89
1999 2920.897 2996.74 2.60 2888.392 1.11
2000 3099.685 3155.233 1.79 3231.622 4.26
2001 3255.951 3320.678 1.99 3335.584 2.45
2002 3511.728 3518.075 0.18 3515.335 0.10
2003 4068.095 4014.692 1.31 3925.766 3.50
2004 4741.831 4673.658 1.44 4731.485 0.22
2005 5407.518 5334.347 1.35 5518.728 2.06
2006 5961.808 5935.961 0.43 6050.772 1.49
2007 6473.211 6634.821 2.50 6621.774 2.30
2008 6669.112 6932.983 3.96 6804.283 2.03
2009 7131.512 7236.915 1.48 7105.661 0.36
2010 7830.969 7904.091 0.93 7844.707 0.18
2011 8569.653 8452.455 1.37 8346.275 2.61
2012 8818.413 8650.408 1.91 8658.672 1.81
2013 9188.381 8886.471 3.29 8905.344 3.08
2014 9116.341 9031.354 0.93 9110.081 0.07
2015 9093.304 9102.761 0.10 9186.184 1.02
2016 9054.476 9175.979 1.34 9269.595 2.38
2017 9245.582 9371.353 1.36 9353.227 1.16
2018 9528.214 9568.146 0.42 9525.992 0.02
2019 9809.198 9717.827 0.93 9763.737 0.46
MAPE (%) 1.89 1.96
MAE 90.41 90.43
MSE 13,030.95 13,116.35
RMSE 114.15 114.53